Bethe Correia vs Karol Rosa Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/28/2021

ufc picks Karol Rosa predictions best bet odds

Bethe Correia vs Karol Rosa

UFC Vegas 38

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Bethe Correia will enter the Octagon against Karol Rosa at UFC Vegas 38 on Saturday, October 2, 2021. The opener has Correia coming in at +270 while Rosa is coming in at -355.

Bethe "Pitbull" Correia comes into this fight with a record of 11-5-1. The 38-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Karol Rosa comes in at 5'5" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 14-3-0. The 26-year-old reaches 67". In the category of significant strikes, Bethe Correia is connecting on 4.39 per minute and Karol Rosa lands 7.73 significant strikes per min. Correia lands 44% of the significant strikes she attempts and Rosa is connecting on 52%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Pitbull" absorbs 4.56 significant strikes per min and Rosa takes 5.51. Correia also thwarts 58% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Rosa is able to thwart 48% of the strikes thrown her way.

UFC Vegas 38	Bethe Correia	Karol Rosa
Opening Odds	+270	-355
Record	11-5-1	14-3-0
Average Fight Time	12:28	15:00
Height	5'5"	5'5"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	64"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.39	7.73
Striking Accuracy	44%	52%

Regarding takedowns, Bethe Correia is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.44 times per 15 min. Correia is scoring a takedown on 20% of her tries and is stuffing 84% of the takedowns her opponents try. Rosa is scoring a takedown on 60% of her takedown tries and defending 90% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Correia is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Rosa looks to get 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In her previous fight, Bethe Correia faced Pannie Kianzad and was defeated by unanimous decision in round 3. Kianzad landed 106 of 205 total strikes attempted in that contest. Correia ended the night having landed 83 of 178 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Kianzad ended up landing 103 of 199, which gave her a rate of 51%. She landed 76 of 168 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Correia ended up landing 39% of her significant strikes by sticking 56 of 143. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 40 of 117 pointed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Kianzad and 82% of them connected on by Correia were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Karol Rosa, she faced off with Joselyne Edwards and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Edwards ended up landing 81% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Rosa ended up connecting on 47% of her significant strikes at distance. Rosa connected on 67% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 57 of 84. She ended up connecting on 33 of 55 significant strikes directed at the head. Edwards landed 38 of 59 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she connected on 22 of 36 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Edwards landed 70 of 97 while Rosa ended up landing 135 of 175 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Thiago Santos faces off with Johnny Walker. Santos looks to add a win to his record of 21-9-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Walker comes in at 6'6" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 18-5-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 82". Concerning takedowns, Thiago Santos takes his opponents down 0.70 times per 3 rounds and Johnny Walker gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Santos connects for an average of 4.27 strikes/min and is landing 48% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Johnny Walker, who is connecting on 72% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.41 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Kyle Daukaus is set to encounter Kevin Holland. Holland has a career mark of 21-7-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 81". Daukaus stands in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 76". In terms of grappling, Kevin Holland curbs 47% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 45% of his tries. Daukaus is finishing his takedown tries on 29% of his tries and prevents 85% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Holland is absorbing 2.33 strikes per minute while he connects on 3.74 per min. Daukaus, notwithstanding, absorbs 2.72 strikes per minute and is dealing 3.23 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Bethe Correia (+270)

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Bethe Correia vs Karol Rosa Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

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