Bartosz Fabinski vs Gerald Meerschaert Pick, 4/17/2021 Predictions UFC on ESPN 22 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/15/2021

Bartosz Fabinski vs Gerald Meerschaert

UFC on ESPN 22

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 17, 2021

Bartosz Fabinski will face off with Gerald Meerschaert at UFC on ESPN 22 on Saturday, April 17, 2021. The opening line has Fabinski at -130 while Meerschaert is coming in at +110.

Bartosz "The Butcher" Fabinski has a career record of 15-4-0. The 34-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Gerald "GM3" Meerschaert measures in at 6'1" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 31-14-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 77". Regarding significant strikes, Bartosz Fabinski lands 2.20 per min and Gerald Meerschaert is connecting on 3.30 significant strikes per min. Fabinski connects on 69% of the significant strikes he tries and Meerschaert connects on 42%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Butcher" allows 1.35 significant strikes per min and "GM3" takes 3.61. Fabinski also stops 53% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Meerschaert deflects 51% of the shots thrown.

UFC on ESPN 22	Bartosz Fabinski	Gerald Meerschaert
Opening Odds	-130	+110
Record	15-4-0	31-14-0
Average Fight Time	9:45	7:30
Height	6'0"	6'1"
Weight	170 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	75"	77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.20	3.30
Striking Accuracy	69%	42%

Concerning wrestling, Bartosz Fabinski is the more effective wrestler as he gets a takedown 7.08 times per 3 rds. Fabinski is finishing his takedown attempts on 69% of his tries and is defending 80% of all takedown attempts. Meerschaert is finishing his takedown tries on 43% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 46% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Fabinski is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.5 submissions per 15 min while Meerschaert goes for 1.7 submissions per 3 rds.

In his last fight, Bartosz Fabinski faced Andre Muniz and took a loss on the night via an armbar from bottom guard in round 1. Muniz ended up landing 19 of 23 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Fabinski ended the night having landed 11 of 16 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Muniz landed 4 of 8, which gave him a percentage of 50%. He landed 2 of 6 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Fabinski landed 62% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 5 of 8. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 3 of 6 to the head. 50% of the significant strikes landed by Muniz and 20% of them landed by Fabinski were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Gerald Meerschaert, he faced off with Khamzat Chimaev and wound up losing the fight via a punch to the head in round 1. Chimaev ended up connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he took from distance. Chimaev connected on 4 of 6 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 3 of 5 to the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Chimaev was 4 of 6 and Meerschaert ended up missing the only shot he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Tony Gravely encounters Anthony Birchak. Gravely comes into this fight holding a mark of 20-6-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Birchak measures 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 16-7-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 69". Regarding grappling, Tony Gravely is averaging a takedown 5.60 times per 3 rounds while Anthony Birchak scores a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Gravely is landing 3.69 strikes/minute and is connecting on 55% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Anthony Birchak, who connects on 36% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 4.23 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Justine Kish is set to fight Tracy Cortez. Cortez has a mark of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Kish comes in at 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 7-3-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 64". Concerning wrestling, Tracy Cortez is able to thwart 85% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 42% of the times she tries. Kish is taking her opponents to the mat on 35% of the attempts she tries and stops 55% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Cortez absorbs 1.98 strikes per minute and she lands 3.67 per minute. Kish, on the other hand, is taking 4.62 strikes/minute and is connecting on 4.65 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Gerald Meerschaert (+110)

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