Antonina Shevchenko vs Casey O'Neill Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/28/2021

ufc picks Casey O'Neill predictions best bet odds

Antonina Shevchenko vs Casey O'Neill

UFC Vegas 38

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Antonina Shevchenko will face off with Casey O'Neill at UFC Vegas 38 on Saturday, October 2, 2021. The moneyline has Shevchenko coming in at +168 while O'Neill is coming in at -210.

Antonina "La Pantera" Shevchenko steps into the cage with a mark of 9-3-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 67". Casey "King" O'Neill stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 7-0-0. The 23-year-old reaches 69". Concerning significant strikes, Antonina Shevchenko lands 3.87 per minute while Casey O'Neill is connecting on 5.56 significant strikes per minute. Shevchenko connects on 56% of the significant strikes she attempts while O'Neill is connecting on 60%. In terms of defending themselves, "La Pantera" takes 2.77 significant strikes per minute and "King" absorbs 2.64. Shevchenko also defends 50% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and O'Neill is able to stop 38% of the strikes thrown her way.

UFC Vegas 38	Antonina Shevchenko	Casey O'Neill
Opening Odds	+168	-210
Record	9-3-0	7-0-0
Average Fight Time	11:18	10:48
Height	5'8"	5'6"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	67"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.87	5.56
Striking Accuracy	56%	60%

In the category of takedowns, Antonina Shevchenko is not as effective of a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.57 times per 3 rds. Shevchenko is getting her opponent to the mat on 60% of the times she tries and defending 50% of the takedowns her opponents try. O'Neill is getting her opponent to the mat on 62% of the takedowns she tries and is defending 60% of the attempts against her. In terms of going for the submission, Shevchenko is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while O'Neill goes for 2.1 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In her previous fight, Antonina Shevchenko went up against Andrea Lee and ended up losing the fight by way of a triangle armbar in round 2. Lee landed 88 of 108 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Shevchenko walked away from this fight having landed 36 of 54 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Lee ended up landing 45 of 62, which gave her a rate of 72%. She landed 32 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Shevchenko landed 56% of her significant strikes by connecting on 23 of 41. Of all the significant strikes, she was 13 of 30 to the head. 42% of the significant strikes landed by Lee and 65% of them connected on by Shevchenko were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Casey O'Neill, she fought Lara Procopio and ended up getting the victory by rear naked choke in round 3. Procopio ended up connecting on 63% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and O'Neill connected on 60% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. O'Neill ended up connecting on 55% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 71 of 129. She ended up connecting on 41 of 97 significant strikes aimed at the head. Procopio landed 41 of 65 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 17 of 40 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Procopio ended up landing 76 of 103 while O'Neill was 176 of 246 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Bethe Correia squares up in the Octagon against Karol Rosa. Correia comes into this fight with a record of 11-5-1. The 38-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Rosa comes in at 5'5" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 14-3-0. The 26-year-old reaches 67". Regarding grappling, Bethe Correia takes her opponents to the mat 0.44 times per 3 rounds and Karol Rosa takes her opponents to the canvas 2.00 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Correia lands an average of 4.39 strikes per min and lands 44% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Karol Rosa, who is landing 52% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 7.73 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Johnny Walker is set to encounter Thiago Santos. Santos looks to add a win to his record of 21-9-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Walker comes in at 6'6" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 18-5-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 82". In terms of wrestling, Thiago Santos is thwarting 66% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 38% of the times he tries. Walker is taking his opponents to the mat on 70% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Santos is taking 2.33 strikes/minute and he deals 4.27 strikes per min. Walker, on the other side, is absorbing 3.51 strikes per minute and deals 4.41 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Casey O'Neill (-210)

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Antonina Shevchenko vs Casey O'Neill Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

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