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Andrei Arlovski vs Tom Aspinall Pick, 2/20/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 19 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/17/2021

Andrei Arlovski UFC

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Andrei Arlovski vs Tom Aspinall

UFC Vegas 19

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 20, 2021

Andrei Arlovski will face off against Tom Aspinall at UFC Vegas 19 on Saturday, February 20, 2021. The opener has Arlovski coming in at +205 while Aspinall is priced at -245.

Andrei "The Pitbull" Arlovski will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 30-19-0. The 42-year-old records a weight of 240 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Tom Aspinall measures in at 6'5" and is fighting at 256 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 9-2-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Regarding significant strikes, Andrei Arlovski lands 3.48 per min and Tom Aspinall connects on 11.14 significant strikes per min. Arlovski is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he tries and Aspinall connects on 74%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Pitbull" allows 2.77 significant strikes per min and Aspinall allows 2.57. Arlovski also defends against 58% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Aspinall is able to thwart 71% of the shots thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 19 Andrei Arlovski Tom Aspinall
Opening Odds +205 -245
Record 30-19-0 9-2-0
Average Fight Time 8:50 1:10
Height 6'3" 6'5"
Weight 240 lbs 256 lbs
Reach 77" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.48 11.14
Striking Accuracy 44% 74%

 

Regarding takedowns, Andrei Arlovski is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.48 times per 15 min. Arlovski is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of his tries and is stopping 79% of all takedown attempts. Aspinall is scoring a takedown on 80% of his takedown attempts and defending 20% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the sub, Arlovski is the more skilled fighter by going for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Aspinall goes for 0.2 submissions per 15 min.

In his previous bout, Andrei Arlovski went up against Tanner Boser and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Boser landed 68 of 119 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Arlovski ended the night having landed 34 of 82 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Boser landed 68 of 119, which gave him a rate of 57%. He ended up landing 16 of 58 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Arlovski ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by landing 34 of 82. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 16 of 53 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Boser and 97% of them connected on by Arlovski were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Tom Aspinall, he battled Alan Baudot and took home the victory by punches to the head from the mount position in round 1. Baudot ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Aspinall connected on 25% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Aspinall connected on 64% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 16 of 25. He ended up connecting on 15 of 24 significant strikes to the head. Baudot ended up landing 3 of 12 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 1 of 10 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Baudot ended up connecting on 5 of 14 while Aspinall ended up landing 17 of 26 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jared Gordon faces off with Danny Chavez. Gordon will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-4-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Chavez comes in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 11-3-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 67". In terms of takedowns, Jared Gordon gets his opposition to the mat 2.98 times per 3 rounds while Danny Chavez gets a takedown 4.00 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Gordon lands an average of 5.55 strikes/minute and connects on 55% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Danny Chavez, who tags the opposition on 44% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 3.27 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Luis Pena is set to square up in the Octagon with Drakkar Klose. Klose looks to add a victory to his career record of 11-2-1. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Pena measures 6'3" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 8-3-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding wrestling, Drakkar Klose is thwarting 68% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of the times he tries. Pena is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of the tries he takes and thwarts 45% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Klose takes 3.64 strikes per minute while he is landing 3.89 strikes per min. Pena, on the other side, is taking 2.74 strikes per min and is dishing out 3.26 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Andrei Arlovski (+205)

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