Andrei Arlovski vs Carlos Felipe Pick, 10/16/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 40 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/12/2021

ufc picks Andrei Arlovski predictions best bet odds

Andrei Arlovski vs Carlos Felipe

UFC Vegas 40

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 16, 2021

Andrei Arlovski will take on Carlos Felipe at UFC Vegas 40 on Saturday, October 16, 2021. The opener has Arlovski priced at -115 while Felipe is coming in at -105.

Andrei "The Pitbull" Arlovski steps into the cage holding a record of 31-20-0. The 42-year-old steps on the scale at 240 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Carlos "Boi" Felipe stands in at 6'0" and weighs in at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 75". When talking about significant strikes, Andrei Arlovski is landing 3.62 per min while Carlos Felipe is connecting on 4.88 significant strikes per min. Arlovski is landing 44% of the significant strikes he throws while Felipe lands 46%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Pitbull" allows 2.95 significant strikes per min and "Boi" allows 5.62. Arlovski also curbs 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Felipe prevents 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC Vegas 40	Andrei Arlovski	Carlos Felipe
Opening Odds	-115	-105
Record	31-20-0	11-1-0
Average Fight Time	8:55	15:00
Height	6'3"	6'0"
Weight	240 lbs	245 lbs
Reach	77"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.62	4.88
Striking Accuracy	44%	46%

In terms of takedowns, Andrei Arlovski is the more productive wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.45 times per 3 rounds. Arlovski is taking his opponents to the canvas on 36% of the times he tries and stopping 78% of all takedowns attempted on him. Felipe is taking his opponents down on 30% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 72% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Arlovski is the more able fighter by going for 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Felipe goes for 0.1 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Andrei Arlovski faced Chase Sherman and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Sherman ended up landing 99 of 203 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Arlovski walked away from this fight having landed 109 of 226 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Sherman ended up landing 88 of 192, which means his percentage was 45%. He finished the fight landing 55 of 154 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Arlovski ended up landing 47% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 105 of 222. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 54 of 154 pointed at the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Sherman and 98% of them connected on by Arlovski were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Carlos Felipe, he squared up with Jake Collier and ended up getting the win by split decision in round 3. Collier connected on 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Felipe ended up landing 97% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Felipe ended up landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 94 of 192. He connected on 64 of 153 significant strikes to the head. Collier ended up landing 130 of 281 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 86 of 229 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Collier ended up landing 130 of 281 while Felipe connected on 94 of 192 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Julian Marquez faces off against Jordan Wright. Marquez steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 9-2-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Wright comes in at 6'2" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 12-1-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In the grappling category, Julian Marquez is averaging a takedown 0.20 times per 15 minutes and Jordan Wright is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Marquez tags his opponents 4.20 strikes per min and is landing 45% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Jordan Wright, who lands 60% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 7.13 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Bruno Silva is set to enter the Octagon with Andrew Sanchez. Sanchez looks to add a win to his career record of 13-6-0. The 33-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Silva stands in at 6'0" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 20-6-0. The 32-year-old reaches 74". Regarding wrestling, Andrew Sanchez is able to stop 90% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 31% of his tries. Silva is taking his opponents down on 40% of his tries and is able to thwart 90% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Sanchez takes 5.05 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 4.48 strikes per min. Silva, notwithstanding, absorbs 0.21 strikes/min and is landing 4.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Andrei Arlovski (-115)

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Andrei Arlovski vs Carlos Felipe Pick, 10/16/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 40 Odds

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