Alexis Davis vs Sabina Mazo Pick, 2/27/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 20 Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/25/2021

Alexis Davis vs Sabina Mazo

UFC Vegas 20

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 27, 2021

Alexis Davis will enter the Octagon against Sabina Mazo at UFC Vegas 20 on Saturday, February 27, 2021. The opener has Davis at +175 while Mazo is coming in at -210.

Alexis Davis has a mark of 19-10-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 68". Sabina "Colombian Queen" Mazo measures 5'7" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 9-1-0. The 23-year-old extends her reach 70". When talking about significant strikes, Alexis Davis is connecting on 4.27 per minute while Sabina Mazo lands 7.14 significant strikes per min. Davis is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes she attempts and Mazo lands 46%. In terms of defending themselves, Davis takes 4.18 significant strikes per min while "Colombian Queen" absorbs 4.07. Davis also defends 55% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Mazo deflects 62% of the strikes thrown her way.

UFC Vegas 20	Alexis Davis	Sabina Mazo
Opening Odds	+175	-210
Record	19-10-0	9-1-0
Average Fight Time	12:35	14:44
Height	5'6"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	68"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.27	7.14
Striking Accuracy	46%	46%

Concerning takedowns, Alexis Davis is the lesser skilled wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.74 times per 3 rds. Davis is scoring a takedown on 33% of her tries and thwarting 32% of the takedowns her opponents try. Mazo is scoring a takedown on 80% of the takedowns she tries and thwarting 83% of the attempts against her. In terms of going for the submission, Davis is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.8 subs per 15 minutes while Mazo attempts 0.2 subs per 15 minutes.

In her last appearance in the Octagon, Alexis Davis faced Viviane Araujo and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Araujo landed 79 of 162 total strikes that she let go. Davis finished this fight landing 134 of 213 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Araujo landed 67 of 148, which gave her a rate of 45%. She ended up landing 52 of 128 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Davis ended up landing 49% of her significant strikes by connecting on 68 of 137. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 33 of 88 to the head. 95% of the significant strikes connected on by Araujo and 77% of them connected on by Davis were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Sabina Mazo, she battled Justine Kish and wound up getting the win by rear naked choke in round 3. Kish landed 94% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Mazo ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Mazo connected on 47% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 131 of 275. She ended up landing 45 of 158 significant strikes directed at the head. Kish ended up connecting on 93 of 210 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 25 of 118 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Kish ended up connecting on 94 of 212 while Mazo ended up landing 131 of 275 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Angela Hill faces off with Ashley Yoder. Hill has a mark of 12-9-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 64". Yoder comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 8-6-0. The 33-year-old stretches 69". Regarding grappling, Angela Hill gets a takedown 0.41 times per 3 rds and Ashley Yoder is able to score a takedown 1.25 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Hill is landing 5.70 strikes/min and connecting on 49% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Ashley Yoder, who is landing 41% of the strikes she attempts and connects for an average of 2.81 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Mayra Bueno Silva is set to face off with Montana De La Rosa. De La Rosa holds a mark of 11-6-0. The 26-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 68". Bueno Silva stands in at 5'6" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her career record of 7-1-0. The 29-year-old reaches 66". When it comes to takedowns, Montana De La Rosa is able to stop 57% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 30% of her tries. Bueno Silva is taking her opponents to the mat on 30% of her tries and curbs 71% of all takedown tries against her. Concerning striking, De La Rosa absorbs 3.38 strikes per min and she is dealing 3.03 per min. Bueno Silva, on the other hand, is absorbing 6.74 strikes/min and dishes out 4.44 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Alexis Davis (+175)

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