Alexander Volkanovski vs Brian Ortega Pick, 9/25/2021 Predictions UFC 266 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/21/2021

ufc picks Brian Ortega predictions best bet odds

Alexander Volkanovski vs Brian Ortega

UFC 266

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 25, 2021

Alexander Volkanovski will take on Brian Ortega at UFC 266 on Saturday, September 25, 2021. The opening line has Volkanovski priced at -170 while Ortega is at +136.

Alexander "The Great" Volkanovski walks into the cage with a mark of 22-1-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Brian "T-City" Ortega comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 15-1-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 69". Regarding significant strikes, Alexander Volkanovski lands 6.02 per minute and Brian Ortega is landing 4.29 significant strikes per min. Volkanovski lands 55% of the significant strikes he tries while Ortega connects on 38%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Great" takes 3.31 significant strikes per min and "T-City" takes 6.28. Volkanovski also curbs 60% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Ortega is able to curb 52% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

UFC 266	Alexander Volkanovski	Brian Ortega
Opening Odds	-170	+136
Record	22-1-0	15-1-0
Average Fight Time	15:09	12:35
Height	5'6"	5'8"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	71"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.02	4.29
Striking Accuracy	55%	38%

Regarding takedowns, Alexander Volkanovski is the better grappler as he scores a takedown 2.09 times per 3 rounds. Volkanovski is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of the times he tries and defending 72% of all takedown tries against him. Ortega is taking his opponents down on 21% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 56% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the sub, Volkanovski is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Ortega looks to get 1.1 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Alexander Volkanovski fought Max Holloway and got a win for the night by way of split decision in round 5. Holloway landed 111 of 277 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Volkanovski walked away from this fight having landed 139 of 275 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Holloway ended up landing 102 of 268, which gave him a rate of 38%. He landed 44 of 167 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Volkanovski ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 137 of 272. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 64 of 161 to the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Holloway and 99% of them connected on by Volkanovski were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Brian Ortega, he went up against Chan Sung Jung and took home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Jung landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Ortega ended up connecting on 92% of his significant strikes at distance. Ortega ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 127 of 212. He ended up connecting on 64 of 135 significant strikes aimed at the head. Jung ended up landing 62 of 163 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 35 of 127 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Jung landed 64 of 166 and Ortega was 129 of 214 total strikes.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Nick Diaz takes on Robbie Lawler. Diaz comes into this fight with a record of 26-9-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 76". Lawler measures in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 28-15-0. The 39-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding grappling, Nick Diaz gets a takedown 1.32 times per 15 min and Robbie Lawler gets a takedown 0.68 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Diaz connects for an average of 5.43 strikes/min and connecting on 42% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Robbie Lawler, who tags his opponent on 45% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 3.50 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Jairzinho Rozenstruik is set to square up in the Octagon with Curtis Blaydes. Blaydes comes into this bout with a record of 14-3-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 265 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Rozenstruik stands in at 6'2" and weighs in at 242 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 12-2-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Concerning wrestling, Curtis Blaydes curbs 33% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 54% of the times he tries. Rozenstruik is taking his opponents to the mat on 30% of his attempts and is able to defend against 80% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Blaydes absorbs 1.70 strikes/min while he is landing 3.59 strikes per min. Rozenstruik, in contrast, takes 3.27 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.15 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Alexander Volkanovski (-170)

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Alexander Volkanovski vs Brian Ortega Pick, 9/25/2021 Predictions UFC 266 Odds

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