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Alexander Hernandez vs Thiago Moises Pick, 2/27/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 20 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/25/2021

thiago moises ufc

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Alexander Hernandez vs Thiago Moises

UFC Vegas 20

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 27, 2021

Alexander Hernandez will face off with Thiago Moises at UFC Vegas 20 on Saturday, February 27, 2021. The moneyline has Hernandez priced at -190 while Moises is coming in at +165.

Alexander "The Great" Hernandez comes into this fight holding a mark of 12-3-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Thiago Moises measures 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 14-4-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 70". In the category of significant strikes, Alexander Hernandez is landing 3.64 per min while Thiago Moises connects on 2.71 significant strikes per minute. Hernandez connects on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Moises is landing 41%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Great" absorbs 3.89 significant strikes per minute and Moises allows 4.00. Hernandez also deflects 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Moises is able to thwart 55% of the shots thrown.

 

UFC Vegas 20 Alexander Hernandez Thiago Moises
Opening Odds -190 +165
Record 12-3-0 14-4-0
Average Fight Time 8:26 11:38
Height 5'9" 5'9"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 72" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.64 2.71
Striking Accuracy 40% 41%

 

Concerning takedowns, Alexander Hernandez is the more apt grappler as he is able to score a takedown 2.08 times per 3 rds. Hernandez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 38% of his tries and stopping 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Moises is finishing his takedowns on 35% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 63% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Hernandez is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Moises tries 1.5 finishes per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Alexander Hernandez faced Chris Gruetzemacher and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Gruetzemacher ended up landing 8 of 27 total strikes that he let go. Hernandez walked away from this fight having landed 29 of 52 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Gruetzemacher landed 8 of 27, which gave him a rate of 29%. He ended up landing 4 of 20 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Hernandez ended up landing 55% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 29 of 52. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 16 of 34 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Gruetzemacher and 96% of them landed by Hernandez were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Thiago Moises, he battled Bobby Green and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Green ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Moises landed 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Moises connected on 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 42 of 119. He connected on 29 of 102 significant strikes directed at the head. Green landed 85 of 177 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 29 of 104 aimed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Green ended up landing 94 of 187 while Moises ended up landing 43 of 120 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Alex Oliveira squares up against Ramazan Kuramagomedov. Oliveira will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 22-9-1. The 33-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Kuramagomedov comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-0-0. The 24-year-old reaches 73". In the grappling category, Alex Oliveira is able to score a takedown 2.41 times per 3 rounds and Ramazan Kuramagomedov takes his opponents down 1 time per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Oliveira connects on 2.87 strikes per minute and lands 50% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Ramazan Kuramagomedov, who is landing 67% of the strikes that he throws and lands 11.67 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Alonzo Menifield is set to square up in the Octagon against William Knight. Knight holds a career record of 9-1-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Menifield stands 6'0" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-2-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 76". Regarding wrestling, William Knight defends against 63% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his attempts. Menifield is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of his tries and stops 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Knight is taking 2.88 strikes per minute while he is landing 4.69 strikes per min. Menifield, on the contrary, absorbs 3.72 strikes per minute and deals 3.34 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Alexander Hernandez (-190)

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