Alexander Hernandez vs Mike Breeden Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/28/2021

ufc picks Alexander Hernandez predictions best bet odds

Alexander Hernandez vs Mike Breeden

UFC Vegas 38

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Alexander Hernandez will enter the Octagon against Mike Breeden at UFC Vegas 38 on Saturday, October 2, 2021. The odds have Hernandez priced at -400 while Breeden is priced at +310.

Alexander "The Great" Hernandez looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-4-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Mike "Money" Breeden measures 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 10-3-0. The 32-year-old reaches 70". Regarding significant strikes, Alexander Hernandez connects on 3.57 per minute while Mike Breeden connects on 4.00 significant strikes per minute. Hernandez lands 35% of the significant strikes he attempts while Breeden is connecting on 34%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Great" absorbs 3.81 significant strikes per minute and "Money" takes 5.87. Hernandez also defends 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Breeden deflects 47% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 38	Alexander Hernandez	Mike Breeden
Opening Odds	-400	+310
Record	12-4-0	10-3-0
Average Fight Time	9:22	15:00
Height	5'9"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.57	4.00
Striking Accuracy	35%	34%

Regarding takedowns, Alexander Hernandez is the more competent wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.60 times per 3 rounds. Hernandez is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of the times he tries and stuffing 62% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Breeden is taking his opponents down on 20% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 77% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Hernandez is the more skilled fighter by going for 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds while Breeden looks to get 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.

Get all of our UFC Picks

In his last fight, Alexander Hernandez fought Thiago Moises and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Moises landed 53 of 183 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Hernandez ended the night having landed 50 of 205 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Moises ended up landing 53 of 183, which means his percentage was 28%. He finished the fight landing 36 of 155 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Hernandez landed 24% of his significant strikes by landing 50 of 205. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 15 of 152 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Moises and 100% of them landed by Hernandez were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Mike Breeden, he faced off with Anthony Romero and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Romero landed 97% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Breeden ended up landing 95% of his significant strikes at distance. Breeden ended up connecting on 34% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 60 of 176. He landed 35 of 141 significant strikes to the head. Romero ended up landing 88 of 167 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 51 of 122 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Romero landed 89 of 170 while Breeden connected on 62 of 179 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Joe Solecki squares up against Jared Gordon. Solecki looks to add a victory to his career record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Gordon stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 17-4-0. The 33-year-old stretches 68". In terms of takedowns, Joe Solecki is able to score a takedown 2.39 times per 15 min while Jared Gordon is able to score a takedown 2.81 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Solecki is landing 2.68 strikes/min and is landing 66% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Jared Gordon, who lands 56% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 5.54 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jamie Mullarkey is set to enter the Octagon against Devonte Smith. Smith has a mark of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Mullarkey stands in at 6'0" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 13-4-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding wrestling, Devonte Smith is stopping 100% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 80% of his tries. Mullarkey is taking his opponents to the mat on 30% of his tries and deflects 66% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Smith is absorbing 2.65 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 5.64 per minute. Mullarkey, notwithstanding, is taking 4.65 strikes/minute and lands 2.02 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Alexander Hernandez (-400)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	November 23, 2024 @ 11:59 PM
Expert:	Arun Shiva (Indian Cowboy)
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Alexander Hernandez vs Mike Breeden Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks