Alex Oliveira vs Niko Price Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/28/2021

ufc picks Niko Price predictions best bet odds

Alex Oliveira vs Niko Price

UFC Vegas 38

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Alex Oliveira will enter the Octagon with Niko Price at UFC Vegas 38 on Saturday, October 2, 2021. The line has Oliveira coming in at +122 while Price is coming in at -150.

Alex "Cowboy" Oliveira will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-10-1. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Niko "The Hybrid" Price measures 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old stretches 76". When talking about significant strikes, Alex Oliveira lands 2.86 per minute while Niko Price is landing 5.29 significant strikes per minute. Oliveira connects on 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Price lands 41%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Cowboy" takes 2.23 significant strikes per minute and "The Hybrid" absorbs 5.87. Oliveira also stops 48% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Price defends against 48% of the shots thrown.

UFC Vegas 38	Alex Oliveira	Niko Price
Opening Odds	+122	-150
Record	22-10-1	14-5-0
Average Fight Time	9:29	7:39
Height	5'11"	6'0"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	76"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.86	5.29
Striking Accuracy	50%	41%

Concerning takedowns, Alex Oliveira is the better wrestler as he scores a takedown 2.37 times per 3 rounds. Oliveira is scoring a takedown on 37% of his attempts and is stopping 63% of all takedowns attempted on him. Price is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Oliveira is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.6 submissions per 15 min while Price goes for 0.9 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Alex Oliveira faced Randy Brown and was on the losing end of this fight by way of a rear naked choke in round 1. Brown landed 23 of 39 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Oliveira ended the night having landed 9 of 14 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Brown ended up landing 16 of 32, which means his percentage was 50%. He landed 10 of 24 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Oliveira ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by sticking 7 of 12. Out of those significant strikes, he was 1 of 6 pointed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes landed by Brown and 100% of them connected on by Oliveira were done at distance.

In the last fight for Niko Price, he faced off with Michel Pereira and wound up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Pereira landed 69% of his significant strikes at distance while Price landed 85% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Price connected on 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 76 of 180. He landed 40 of 130 significant strikes directed at the head. Pereira ended up connecting on 92 of 154 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 52 of 106 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Pereira ended up connecting on 115 of 180 while Price connected on 120 of 229 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Misha Cirkunov squares up with Krzysztof Jotko. Cirkunov walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-6-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Jotko measures 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 22-5-0. The 32-year-old stretches 77". When it comes to grappling, Misha Cirkunov is able to score a takedown 4.28 times per 3 rounds and Krzysztof Jotko is able to score a takedown 1.16 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Cirkunov connects on 4.18 strikes/minute and connecting on 51% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Krzysztof Jotko, who tags his opponent on 41% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 2.94 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Mike Breeden is set to square up in the Octagon against Alexander Hernandez. Hernandez looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-4-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Breeden measures 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 10-3-0. The 32-year-old reaches 70". Concerning wrestling, Alexander Hernandez is able to curb 62% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 38% of his attempts. Breeden is finishing his takedowns on 20% of his tries and stops 77% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Hernandez is absorbing 3.81 strikes/min while he deals 3.57 strikes per min. Breeden, on the contrary, absorbs 5.87 strikes per minute and dishes out 4.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Alex Oliveira (+122)

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Alex Oliveira vs Niko Price Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

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