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Alex Caceres vs Seung Woo Choi Pick, 10/23/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 41 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/19/2021

ufc picks Alex Caceres predictions best bet odds

Alex Caceres vs Seung Woo Choi

UFC Vegas 41

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 23, 2021

Alex Caceres will face off with Seung Woo Choi at UFC Vegas 41 on Saturday, October 23, 2021. The opening moneyline has Caceres priced at +220 while Choi is at -280.

Alex "Bruce Leeroy" Caceres has a mark of 18-12-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs. and stands in at 5' 10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 73". Seung Woo "Sting" Choi stands 6' 0" and is fighting at 145 lbs.. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-3-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 74". In the category of significant strikes, Alex Caceres lands 4.10 per minute and Seung Woo Choi is connecting on 3.31 significant strikes per minute. Caceres connects on 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Woo Choi lands 41%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Bruce Leeroy" takes 2.82 significant strikes per minute while "Sting" allows 2.55. Caceres also prevents 65% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Woo Choi is able to stop 46% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

 

UFC Vegas 41 Alex Caceres Seung Woo Choi
Opening Odds +220 -280
Record 18-12-0 10-3-0
Average Fight Time 12:03 11:59
Height 5' 10" 6' 0"
Weight 145 lbs. 145 lbs.
Reach 73" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.10 3.31
Striking Accuracy 50% 41%

 

Concerning takedowns, Alex Caceres is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.57 times per 15 minutes. Caceres is finishing his takedown attempts on 78% of his tries and stopping 64% of all takedown tries against him. Woo Choi is taking his opponents down on 57% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Caceres is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 submissions per 3 rds while Woo Choi looks to get 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Alex Caceres squared up with Kevin Croom and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Croom landed 26 of 67 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Caceres walked away from this fight having landed 97 of 121 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Croom landed 16 of 51, which gave him a rate of 31%. He landed 10 of 44 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Caceres ended up landing 70% of his significant strikes by sticking 48 of 68. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 33 of 49 to the head. 87% of the significant strikes connected on by Croom and 62% of them connected on by Caceres were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Seung Woo Choi, he faced off with Julian Erosa and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Erosa landed 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Choi ended up landing 53% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Choi ended up connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 13 of 29. He landed 10 of 25 significant strikes directed at the head. Erosa connected on 10 of 20 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 5 of 14 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Erosa ended up connecting on 10 of 20 while Choi was 14 of 30 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Francisco Trinaldo squares up against Dwight Grant. Trinaldo walks into the Octagon with a mark of 26-8-0. The 43-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs. and stands 5' 9". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Grant measures 6' 1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs.. The switch fighter has a career mark of 11-3-0. The 37-year-old reaches 76". When it comes to grappling, Francisco Trinaldo gets his opposition to the mat 1.03 times per 15 minutes while Dwight Grant is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Trinaldo connects on 3.08 strikes per minute and landing 43% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Dwight Grant, who is connecting on 36% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 3.36 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Ike Villanueva is set to battle Nicolae Negumereanu. Negumereanu comes into this fight with a mark of 10-1-0. The 27-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs. and stands 6' 0". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Villanueva measures in at 6' 1" and tips the scales at 205 lbs.. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 18-12-0. The 37-year-old has a reach of 73". In terms of grappling, Nicolae Negumereanu is stopping 57% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 20% of his tries. Villanueva is finishing his takedown tries on 60% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 40% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Negumereanu absorbs 5.73 strikes per minute and he lands 2.73 strikes per min. Villanueva, on the contrary, takes 7.88 strikes/minute and lands 4.28 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Alex Caceres (+220)

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