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Alan Patrick vs Mason Jones Pick, 6/5/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 28 Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/2/2021

Alan Patrick UFC

Free Picks

Alan Patrick vs Mason Jones

UFC Vegas 28

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 5, 2021

Alan Patrick will take on Mason Jones at UFC Vegas 28 on Saturday, June 5, 2021. The opening moneyline has Patrick priced at +250 while Jones is coming in at -300.

Alan "Nuguette" Patrick will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 15-3-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Mason "Dragon" Jones comes in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 10-1-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding significant strikes, Alan Patrick lands 1.79 per min while Mason Jones is landing 7.80 significant strikes per minute. Patrick is landing 40% of the significant strikes he throws and Jones is landing 37%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Nuguette" allows 2.64 significant strikes per min and "Dragon" absorbs 7.20. Patrick also curbs 43% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Jones prevents 47% of them.

 

UFC Vegas 28 Alan Patrick Mason Jones
Opening Odds +250 -300
Record 15-3-0 10-1-0
Average Fight Time 12:23 15:00
Height 5'11" 5'10"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 74" 74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.79 7.80
Striking Accuracy 40% 37%

 

Regarding grappling, Alan Patrick is the more skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 3.48 times per 15 minutes. Patrick is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of his tries and stopping 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Jones is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Patrick is the more able fighter by going for 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Jones looks to get 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last fight, Alan Patrick squared up with Bobby Green and wound up walking away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Green ended up landing 109 of 149 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Patrick finished this fight landing 38 of 89 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Green ended up landing 61 of 95, which means his percentage was 64%. He ended up landing 41 of 74 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Patrick landed 27% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 19 of 69. Out of those significant strikes, he was 8 of 50 pointed at the head. 57% of the significant strikes connected on by Green and 94% of them landed by Patrick were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Mason Jones, he fought Mike Davis and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Davis ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Jones landed 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Jones ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 117 of 313. He ended up connecting on 83 of 265 significant strikes aimed at the head. Davis connected on 108 of 207 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 54 of 131 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Davis was 111 of 210 while Jones ended up landing 132 of 329 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Sean Woodson meets Youssef Zalal. Woodson looks to add a victory to his career record of 7-1-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 78". Zalal measures 5'10" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 10-4-0. The 24-year-old has a wingspan of 72". When it comes to grappling, Sean Woodson takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 3 rounds while Youssef Zalal takes his opponents down 2.40 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Woodson tags his opponents 6.40 strikes per minute and connecting on 45% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Youssef Zalal, who connects on 51% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 2.45 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Jordan Leavitt is set to clash with Claudio Puelles. Puelles comes into this fight holding a mark of 10-2-0. The 25-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 72". Leavitt measures 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 8-0-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of wrestling, Claudio Puelles stops 20% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 36% of the times he tries. Leavitt is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his tries and deflects 30% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Puelles is absorbing 3.73 strikes/min and he dishes out 1.95 strikes/min. Leavitt, notwithstanding, is absorbing 0.43 strikes per minute and is landing 1.08 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mason Jones (-300)

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