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Alan Baudot vs Rodrigo Nascimento Pick, 7/17/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 31 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/12/2021

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Alan Baudot vs Rodrigo Nascimento

UFC Vegas 31

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 17, 2021

Alan Baudot will face off with Rodrigo Nascimento at UFC Vegas 31 on Saturday, July 17, 2021. The line has Baudot coming in at +240 while Nascimento is priced at -310.

Alan "The Black Samourai" Baudot looks to add a victory to his record of 8-2-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 243 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Rodrigo "Ze Colmeia" Nascimento measures 6'2" and tips the scales at 246 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 8-1-0. The 28-year-old reaches 80". When talking about significant strikes, Alan Baudot is landing 1.89 per min and Rodrigo Nascimento is connecting on 4.23 significant strikes per minute. Baudot is connecting on 25% of the significant strikes he attempts and Nascimento is landing 55%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Black Samourai" takes 10.11 significant strikes per minute while "Ze Colmeia" absorbs 4.32. Baudot also curbs 36% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Nascimento defends against 42% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 31 Alan Baudot Rodrigo Nascimento
Opening Odds +240 -310
Record 8-2-0 8-1-0
Average Fight Time 1:35 3:42
Height 6'3" 6'2"
Weight 243 lbs 246 lbs
Reach 79" 80"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.89 4.23
Striking Accuracy 25% 55%

 

In the wrestling category, Alan Baudot is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Baudot is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of his tries and is stopping 30% of all takedown attempts. Nascimento is taking his opponents to the mat on 100% of his takedown tries and thwarting 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing opponents, Baudot is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 finishes per 3 rds while Nascimento tries 2.7 finishes per 15 min.

In his previous fight, Alan Baudot fought Tom Aspinall and ended up losing the fight by way of punches to the head from the mount position in round 1. Aspinall landed 17 of 26 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Baudot ended the night having landed 5 of 14 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Aspinall ended up landing 16 of 25, which gave him a percentage of 64%. He finished the fight landing 15 of 24 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Baudot ended up landing 25% of his significant strikes by landing 3 of 12. Of those significant strikes, he landed 1 of 10 pointed at the head. 25% of the significant strikes connected on by Aspinall and 100% of them connected on by Baudot were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Rodrigo Nascimento, he faced off with Chris Daukaus and walked away with a loss by a punch to the head in round 1. Daukaus ended up connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Nascimento ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Nascimento ended up connecting on 25% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 1 of 4. He connected on 0 of 3 significant strikes aimed at the head. Daukaus connected on 13 of 21 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 13 of 21 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Daukaus ended up connecting on 13 of 21 while Nascimento was 1 of 4 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Marion Reneau squares up with Miesha Tate. Reneau holds a mark of 9-7-1. The 44-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Tate measures in at 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 18-7-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 66". When it comes to grappling, Marion Reneau is able to score a takedown 0.66 times per 15 minutes while Miesha Tate takes her opponents to the canvas 2.06 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Reneau tags his opponents 3.29 strikes/min and landing 41% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Miesha Tate, who lands 41% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 1.93 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Montserrat Ruiz is set to enter the Octagon with Amanda Lemos. Lemos steps into the cage with a record of 9-1-1. The 34-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter stretches 65". Ruiz stands 5'0" and will fight at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 61". In terms of wrestling, Amanda Lemos is preventing 80% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 60% of her tries. Ruiz is taking her opponents down on 80% of her tries and is able to thwart 40% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Lemos is taking 5.39 strikes per min while she is dealing 6.21 strikes/minute. Ruiz, moreover, absorbs 2.07 strikes per minute and dishes out 1.00 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Rodrigo Nascimento (-310)

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