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Yorgan De Castro vs Carlos Felipe Pick, 10/3/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 4 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/2/2020

yorgan de castro ufc

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Yorgan De Castro vs Carlos Felipe

UFC Fight Island 4

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 3, 2020

Yorgan De Castro will face off with Carlos Felipe at UFC Fight Island 4 on Saturday, October 3, 2020. The odds have Castro coming in at -235 while Felipe is coming in at +195.

Yorgan "The Mad Titan" De Castro will be looking to add a victory to his record of 6-1-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 250 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Carlos "Boi" Felipe measures 6'0" and is fighting at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old reaches 75". In the category of significant strikes, Yorgan De Castro is connecting on 2.19 per minute and Carlos Felipe is connecting on 2.93 significant strikes per min. De Castro lands 41% of the significant strikes he tries and Felipe is connecting on 36%. Regarding defense, "The Mad Titan" absorbs 2.99 significant strikes per min while "Boi" takes 4.87. De Castro also stops 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Felipe defends against 51% of the shots thrown in his direction.

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When it comes to grappling, Yorgan De Castro is the more effective grappler as he gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. De Castro is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and is stopping 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Felipe is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 57% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, De Castro is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds while Felipe goes for 1.1 finishes per 15 minutes.

The last time he fought, Yorgan De Castro went up against Greg Hardy and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Hardy ended up landing 66 of 135 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Castro finished this fight landing 24 of 69 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Hardy ended up landing 55 of 124, which means his percentage was 44%. He finished the fight landing 21 of 80 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Castro landed 34% of his significant strikes by connecting on 24 of 69. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 6 of 44 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Hardy and 100% of them connected on by Castro were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Carlos Felipe, he faced off with Serghei Spivac and ended up losing the fight via majority decision in round 3. Spivac ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Felipe ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Felipe landed 36% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 44 of 121. He ended up connecting on 30 of 107 significant strikes aimed at the head. Spivac connected on 73 of 149 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 72 of 148 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Spivac was 165 of 253 and Felipe landed 44 of 121 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Carlos Condit squares up with Court McGee. Condit steps into the Octagon with a mark of 30-13-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". McGee stands 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 20-9-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In terms of takedowns, Carlos Condit gets a takedown 0.58 times per 15 minutes while Court McGee is able to score a takedown 1.71 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Condit lands an average of 3.56 strikes per minute and connects on 39% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Court McGee, who is connecting on 35% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 4.86 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Heili Alateng is set to square up in the Octagon with Casey Kenney. Kenney walks into the cage with a mark of 14-2-1. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 68". Alateng stands 5'5" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 14-7-1. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 66". Regarding wrestling, Casey Kenney is able to deflect 53% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the times he tries. Alateng is finishing his takedown tries on 35% of the attempts he tries and curbs 90% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Kenney is absorbing 3.31 strikes per min while he connects on 3.66 strikes per min. Alateng, on the contrary, takes 5.10 strikes per min and deals 2.77 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Yorgan De Castro (-235)

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