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Vicente Luque vs Randy Brown Picks and Predictions 8-1-2020 UFC Fight Night 173 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/31/2020

Randy Brown UFC

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Vicente Luque vs Randy Brown

UFC Fight Night 173

UFC Apex

Saturday, August 1, 2020

Vicente Luque will enter the Octagon against Randy Brown at UFC Fight Night 173 at UFC Apex on Saturday, August 1, 2020. The opener has Luque coming in at -210 while Brown is coming in at +175.

Vicente "The Silent Assassin" Luque looks to add a win to his record of 18-7-1. The 28-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Randy "Rudeboy" Brown comes in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 78". With respect to significant strikes, Vicente Luque is landing 5.66 per minute while Randy Brown lands 3.41 significant strikes per minute. Luque is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he attempts and Brown lands 47%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Silent Assassin" allows 5.79 significant strikes per min while "Rudeboy" allows 2.42. Luque also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Brown deflects 55% of the shots thrown his way.

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Concerning takedowns, Vicente Luque is not as effective of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.73 times per 3 rounds. Luque is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of his attempts and is defending 65% of all takedowns attempted on him. Brown is taking his opponents down on 46% of his takedown attempts and is defending 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Luque is the more able fighter by trying 0.8 subs per 15 min while Brown looks to get 0.6 subs per 15 min.

In his previous bout, Vicente Luque went up against Niko Price and took home the win via TKO due to a doctor's stoppage in round 3. Price ended up landing 144 of 307 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Luque walked away from this fight having landed 130 of 237 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Price ended up landing 129 of 291, giving him a percentage of 44%. He ended up landing 81 of 230 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Luque landed 54% of his significant strikes by landing 130 of 237. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 85 of 186 pointed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes landed by Price and 96% of them landed by Luque were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Randy Brown, he faced off with Warlley Alves and took home the win via a triangle choke in round 2. Alves ended up connecting on 33% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Brown landed 56% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Brown ended up connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 16 of 30. He ended up connecting on 11 of 23 significant strikes to the head. Alves ended up connecting on 3 of 11 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 1 of 8 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Alves was 8 of 18 while Brown landed 24 of 38 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Lando Vannata fights Bobby Green. Vannata looks to add a victory to his record of 11-4-2. The 28-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Green comes in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 25-10-1. The 33-year-old reaches 71". Regarding grappling, Lando Vannata is able to score a takedown 1.15 times per 15 min and Bobby Green takes his opponents down 1.19 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Vannata lands an average of 4.72 strikes per minute and lands 44% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Bobby Green, who tags the opposition on 49% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 5.01 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Trevin Giles is set to take on Kevin Holland. Holland looks to add a win to his career total of 17-5-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 81". Giles measures in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 12-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 74". Regarding wrestling, Kevin Holland thwarts 48% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is scoring a takedown on 43% of the times he tries. Giles is finishing his takedown tries on 100% of the tries he takes and curbs 73% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Holland takes 2.56 strikes/minute and he lands 4.29 strikes/min. Giles, on the other hand, takes 1.75 strikes per minute and dishes out 3.61 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Vicente Luque (-210)

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