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Thomas Almeida vs Jonathan Martinez Pick, 10/17/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 6 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/16/2020

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Thomas Almeida vs Jonathan Martinez

UFC Fight Island 6

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 17, 2020

Thomas Almeida will battle Jonathan Martinez at UFC Fight Island 6 on Saturday, October 17, 2020. The opener has Almeida coming in at -135 while Martinez is priced at +115.

Thomas "Thominhas" Almeida looks to add a win to his total of 22-3-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Jonathan "Dragon" Martinez measures in at 5'8" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a record of 12-3-0. The 26-year-old reaches 70". Regarding significant strikes, Thomas Almeida lands 5.66 per min while Jonathan Martinez lands 4.22 significant strikes per min. Almeida lands 45% of the significant strikes he throws and Martinez is connecting on 50%. Regarding defense, "Thominhas" takes 4.65 significant strikes per min and "Dragon" allows 3.46. Almeida also curbs 64% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Martinez is able to curb 57% of the shots thrown his way.

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In terms of grappling, Thomas Almeida is not as effective of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rounds. Almeida is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his attempts and stuffing 75% of all takedown tries against him. Martinez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 46% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Almeida is the more able fighter by going for 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Martinez looks to get 0.2 submissions per 3 rds.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Thomas Almeida squared up with Rob Font and ended up losing the fight via a kick to the head in round 2. Font ended up landing 48 of 139 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Almeida finished this fight landing 24 of 92 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Font ended up landing 41 of 132, giving him a percentage of 31%. He ended up landing 35 of 120 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Almeida landed 26% of his significant strikes by landing 24 of 90. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 11 of 66 aimed at the head. 63% of the significant strikes connected on by Font and 100% of them landed by Almeida were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Jonathan Martinez, he went up against Frankie Saenz and ended up getting the victory by way of a knee to the head in round 3. Saenz connected on 76% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Martinez ended up landing 72% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Martinez ended up connecting on 59% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 79 of 133. He ended up landing 48 of 90 significant strikes aimed at the head. Saenz connected on 39 of 72 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 12 of 43 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Saenz ended up connecting on 52 of 85 and Martinez landed 88 of 143 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Junyong Park faces off with John Phillips. Park will be looking to add a win to his career record of 11-4-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Phillips measures in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 22-10-0. The 35-year-old stretches 75". In the grappling category, Junyong Park gets a takedown 3.04 times per 3 rounds and John Phillips takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Park lands 6.41 strikes per minute and connecting on 47% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got John Phillips, who tags his opponent on 34% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 2.25 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Fares Ziam is set to enter the Octagon with Jamie Mullarkey. Mullarkey looks to add a victory to his total of 12-3-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Ziam comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 10-3-0. The 23-year-old has an arm span of 75". Regarding wrestling, Jamie Mullarkey is stopping 10% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of his tries. Ziam is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts and is able to curb 75% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Mullarkey is taking 6.07 strikes per min and he is dishing out 2.40 per minute. Ziam, moreover, is taking 1.40 strikes per min and lands 0.67 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jonathan Martinez (+115)

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