Stephen Thompson vs Geoff Neal Pick, 12/19/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 17 Odds

by Tony Sink - 12/18/2020

Stephen Thompson vs Geoff Neal

UFC Vegas 17

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 19, 2020

Stephen Thompson will face off against Geoff Neal at UFC Vegas 17 on Saturday, December 19, 2020. The moneyline has Thompson at +100 while Neal is at -120.

Stephen "Wonderboy" Thompson will be looking to add a win to his record of 15-4-1. The 37-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Geoff "Handz of Steel" Neal stands 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a record of 13-2-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 75". In the category of significant strikes, Stephen Thompson is connecting on 3.93 per minute and Geoff Neal is connecting on 6.04 significant strikes per min. Thompson lands 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Neal is landing 49%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Wonderboy" takes 2.73 significant strikes per minute and "Handz of Steel" allows 3.57. Thompson also stops 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Neal prevents 65% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding wrestling, Stephen Thompson is not as effective of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.36 times per 3 rds. Thompson is scoring a takedown on 45% of his tries and is stuffing 78% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Neal is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 92% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Thompson is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Neal attempts 0.4 finishes per 15 min.

In his previous fight, Stephen Thompson faced Vicente Luque and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Luque ended up landing 77 of 175 total strikes attempted in that fight. Thompson finished this fight landing 138 of 242 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Luque landed 77 of 175, which means his percentage was 44%. He landed 26 of 107 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Thompson landed 57% of his significant strikes by landing 138 of 242. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 111 of 212 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Luque and 91% of them connected on by Thompson were done at distance.

In the last bout for Geoff Neal, he battled Mike Perry and got a win for the night by a punch to the head in round 1. Perry connected on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Neal ended up connecting on 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Neal connected on 65% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 15 of 23. He connected on 12 of 18 significant strikes directed at the head. Perry landed 5 of 10 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 3 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Perry connected on 5 of 10 and Neal ended up landing 15 of 23 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jose Aldo battles Marlon Vera. Aldo has a record of 28-7-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Vera stands in at 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 16-6-1. The 28-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding grappling, Jose Aldo gets his opposition to the mat 0.60 times per 15 minutes while Marlon Vera takes his opponents to the canvas 0.86 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Aldo is landing 3.48 strikes/minute and connects on 44% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Marlon Vera, who is connecting on 48% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 3.70 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Khaos Williams is set to clash with Michel Pereira. Pereira has a mark of 24-11-0. The 27-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Williams stands in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 77". Regarding wrestling, Michel Pereira prevents 100% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 62% of his tries. Williams is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the attempts he tries and defends against 0% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Pereira takes 2.56 strikes per min and he connects on 4.02 per min. Williams, at the same time, absorbs 3.16 strikes/minute and is landing 15.79 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Stephen Thompson (+100)

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