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Stefan Struve vs Tai Tuivasa Pick, 10/24/2020 Predictions UFC 254 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/22/2020

Tai Tuivasa UFC

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Stefan Struve vs Tai Tuivasa

UFC 254

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 24, 2020

Stefan Struve will face off against Tai Tuivasa at UFC 254 on Saturday, October 24, 2020. The opener has Struve coming in at -110 while Tuivasa is also coming in at -110.

Stefan "Skyscraper" Struve walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 33-12-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 265 lbs and comes in at 6'11". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 84". Tai "Bam Bam" Tuivasa stands 6'2" and weighs 264 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old reaches 75". Regarding significant strikes, Stefan Struve is connecting on 3.13 per min while Tai Tuivasa is landing 4.09 significant strikes per min. Struve is connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he attempts while Tuivasa connects on 48%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Skyscraper" allows 4.00 significant strikes per minute and "Bam Bam" absorbs 3.54. Struve also defends 46% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Tuivasa is able to stop 51% of them.

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When it comes to wrestling, Stefan Struve is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.58 times per 15 min. Struve is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the times he tries and is stopping 55% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Tuivasa is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 42% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Struve is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 1.7 submissions per 3 rds while Tuivasa looks to get 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

In his last fight, Stefan Struve squared up with Ben Rothwell and wound up taking the loss via punches to the head in round 2. Rothwell landed 71 of 114 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Struve walked away from this fight having landed 63 of 87 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Rothwell ended up landing 58 of 101, which gave him a percentage of 57%. He finished the fight landing 41 of 83 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Struve ended up landing 68% of his significant strikes by landing 53 of 77. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 18 of 39 pointed at the head. 56% of the significant strikes landed by Rothwell and 86% of them landed by Struve were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Tai Tuivasa, he fought Serghei Spivac and ended up walking away in defeat via an arm triangle in round 2. Spivac landed 34% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Tuivasa ended up landing 80% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Tuivasa ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 21 of 50. He ended up landing 8 of 32 significant strikes directed at the head. Spivac landed 23 of 42 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 22 of 41 to the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Spivac ended up connecting on 40 of 60 and Tuivasa landed 22 of 51 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Nathaniel Wood battles Casey Kenney. Wood holds a mark of 17-4-0. The 27-year-old is weighing in at 140 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Kenney measures in at 5'7" and steps on the scale at 140 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career mark of 15-2-1. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 68". Regarding grappling, Nathaniel Wood takes his opponents down 1.65 times per 15 min while Casey Kenney scores a takedown 1.13 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Wood is landing 5.52 strikes/min and is landing 48% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Casey Kenney, who tags the opposition on 42% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 4.25 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Sam Alvey is set to square up against Da-Un Jung. Jung comes into this fight with a record of 13-2-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Alvey stands 6'2" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career mark of 33-14-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding wrestling, Da-Un Jung is preventing 83% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 10% of his tries. Alvey is finishing his takedown tries on 16% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 81% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Jung is absorbing 7.05 strikes/min and he is connecting on 6.59 per minute. Alvey, on the other hand, is taking 3.22 strikes/min and is landing 3.11 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Stefan Struve (-110)

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