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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Robert Whittaker vs Darren Till Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

Robert Whittaker vs Darren Till Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/24/2020

Robert Whittaker UFC

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Robert Whittaker vs Darren Till

UFC Fight Island 3

Saturday, July 25, 2020

Robert Whittaker will enter the Octagon against Darren Till at UFC Fight Island 3 at UFC Fight Island on Saturday, July 25, 2020. The opening odds have Whittaker priced at -125 while Till is at +105.

Robert "The Reaper" Whittaker holds a mark of 21-5-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Darren "The Gorilla" Till measures in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 18-2-1. The 27-year-old extends his reach 74". Regarding significant strikes, Robert Whittaker is connecting on 4.77 per min and Darren Till is landing 2.41 significant strikes per minute. Whittaker is connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he attempts and Till connects on 46%. Regarding defending, "The Reaper" absorbs 3.70 significant strikes per minute and "The Gorilla" absorbs 3.03. Whittaker also thwarts 61% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Till is able to prevent 59% of the strikes thrown his way.

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Regarding grappling, Robert Whittaker is not as effective of a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.36 times per 3 rds. Whittaker is scoring a takedown on 57% of his tries and is stopping 84% of all takedown attempts. Till is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of his takedown attempts and stopping 82% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Whittaker is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Till attempts 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Robert Whittaker faced Israel Adesanya and wound up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 2. Adesanya ended up landing 40 of 95 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Whittaker finished this fight landing 32 of 116 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Adesanya ended up landing 40 of 95, which gave him a rate of 42%. He landed 27 of 80 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Whittaker ended up landing 27% of his significant strikes by connecting on 32 of 116. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 20 of 97 pointed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Adesanya and 100% of them landed by Whittaker were tallied at a distance.

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In the last fight for Darren Till, he went up against Kelvin Gastelum and ended up winning this fight by split decision in round 3. Gastelum connected on 65% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Till ended up connecting on 94% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Till connected on 53% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 36 of 67. He connected on 19 of 48 significant strikes directed at the head. Gastelum connected on 40 of 81 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 8 of 41 aimed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Gastelum ended up landing 50 of 96 and Till ended up landing 37 of 69 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Mauricio Rua enters the Octagon against Rogerio Nogueira. Rua walks into the cage with a record of 26-11-1. The 38-year-old weighs 205 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Nogueira measures in at 6'2" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 23-9-0. The 44-year-old reaches 75". In the grappling category, Mauricio Rua scores a takedown 2.17 times per 15 minutes while Rogerio Nogueira gets a takedown 0.67 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Rua lands 3.63 strikes/minute and is connecting on 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Rogerio Nogueira, who tags the opposition on 34% of his attempted strikes and lands 2.39 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Alexander Gustafsson is set to enter the Octagon against Fabricio Werdum. Werdum steps into the cage with a record of 23-9-1. The 42-year-old records a weight of 231 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Gustafsson comes in at 6'5" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 18-6-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 79". In terms of wrestling, Fabricio Werdum curbs 31% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 31% of his tries. Gustafsson is taking his opponents down on 39% of his tries and is able to deflect 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Werdum is taking 2.62 strikes/minute and he deals 3.61 per min. Gustafsson, at the same time, is taking 3.44 strikes per minute and dishes out 4.02 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Robert Whittaker (-125)

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