Raphael Assuncao vs Cody Garbrandt Predictions, Picks, UFC 250 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/29/2020

Raphael Assuncao vs Cody Garbrandt

UFC 250

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 6, 2020

Raphael Assuncao will battle Cody Garbrandt at UFC 250 at UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, June 6, 2020. The odds have Assuncao priced at +120 while Garbrandt is priced at -140.

Raphael Assuncao looks to add a victory to his career record of 27-7-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 66". Cody "No Love" Garbrandt stands 5'8" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 11-3-0. The 28-year-old reaches 65". Regarding significant strikes, Raphael Assuncao lands 3.32 per minute and Cody Garbrandt is landing 3.53 significant strikes per min. Assuncao is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes he attempts and Garbrandt is landing 37%. Regarding defending, Assuncao takes 2.35 significant strikes per minute and "No Love" allows 3.53. Assuncao also curbs 68% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Garbrandt curbs 64% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, Raphael Assuncao is the more capable grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.54 times per 15 min. Assuncao is scoring a takedown on 38% of his tries and stuffing 80% of all takedown attempts. Garbrandt is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of the takedowns he tries and defending 100% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Assuncao is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Garbrandt looks to get 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Raphael Assuncao squared up with Cory Sandhagen and ended up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Sandhagen ended up landing 78 of 135 total strikes that he let go. Assuncao ended the night having landed 65 of 103 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Sandhagen landed 62 of 116, which means his percentage was 53%. He ended up landing 23 of 67 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Assuncao landed 55% of his significant strikes by connecting on 45 of 81. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 15 of 50 aimed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Sandhagen and 66% of them landed by Assuncao were tallied at a distance.

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In the last fight for Cody Garbrandt, he faced off with Pedro Munhoz and wound up taking the loss via a punch to the head in round 1. Munhoz connected on 72% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Garbrandt ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Garbrandt ended up connecting on 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 21 of 60. He ended up landing 19 of 50 significant strikes to the head. Munhoz landed 25 of 47 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 16 of 36 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Munhoz was 28 of 51 while Garbrandt ended up landing 21 of 60 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Aljamain Sterling squares up against Cory Sandhagen. Sterling has a record of 18-3-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Sandhagen stands in at 5'11" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 12-1-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 70". In terms of takedowns, Aljamain Sterling is averaging a takedown 1.91 times per 3 rounds and Cory Sandhagen scores a takedown 1.24 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Sterling tags his opponents 4.85 strikes/min and landing 50% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Cory Sandhagen, who is landing 48% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 7.14 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Anthony Rocco Martin is set to meet Neil Magny. Magny looks to add a victory to his career total of 22-8-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Rocco Martin stands in at 6'0" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 17-5-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding wrestling, Neil Magny is thwarting 59% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 47% of his attempts. Rocco Martin is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the tries he takes and prevents 64% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Magny absorbs 2.15 strikes/minute and he lands 3.93 strikes per min. Rocco Martin, on the other hand, is taking 2.45 strikes per minute and connects on 2.70 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Raphael Assuncao (+120)

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