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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Nicolas Dalby vs Jesse Ronson Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

Nicolas Dalby vs Jesse Ronson Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/24/2020

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Nicolas Dalby vs Jesse Ronson

UFC Fight Island 3

Saturday, July 25, 2020

Nicolas Dalby will enter the Octagon with Jesse Ronson at UFC Fight Island 3 at UFC Fight Island on Saturday, July 25, 2020. The moneyline has Dalby priced at -255 while Ronson is at +215.

Nicolas "Lokomotivo" Dalby steps into the cage with a record of 18-3-1. The 35-year-old weighs 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Jesse "The Body Snatcher" Ronson stands 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 21-10-0. The 34-year-old reaches 70". Regarding significant strikes, Nicolas Dalby is connecting on 3.03 per min and Jesse Ronson is connecting on 3.09 significant strikes per min. Dalby is landing 38% of the significant strikes he attempts and Ronson is connecting on 46%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Lokomotivo" absorbs 2.91 significant strikes per minute and "The Body Snatcher" takes 2.73. Dalby also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Ronson is able to defend against 59% of the strikes thrown his way.

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In terms of wrestling, Nicolas Dalby is the better wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.80 times per 3 rounds. Dalby is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of his tries and is stopping 58% of the takedowns his opponents try. Ronson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 61% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Dalby is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Ronson looks to get 0.7 finishes per 3 rds.

The last time he fought, Nicolas Dalby squared up with Alex Oliveira and ended up getting the victory in the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Oliveira ended up landing 31 of 65 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Dalby ended the night having landed 64 of 122 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Oliveira landed 18 of 47, which gave him a rate of 38%. He landed 14 of 40 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Dalby ended up landing 36% of his significant strikes by sticking 31 of 84. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 19 of 64 pointed at the head. 72% of the significant strikes landed by Oliveira and 29% of them connected on by Dalby were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Jesse Ronson, he went up against Kevin Lee and walked away in defeat by split decision in round 3. Lee ended up landing 73% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Ronson landed 93% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Ronson ended up connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 48 of 100. He ended up landing 27 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lee connected on 49 of 110 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 33 of 90 directed at the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Lee connected on 66 of 128 while Ronson ended up landing 51 of 105 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Movsar Evloev squares up against Mike Grundy. Evloev steps into the cage with a record of 12-0-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Grundy stands in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 12-1-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of takedowns, Movsar Evloev gets a takedown 4.50 times per 3 rounds while Mike Grundy gets a takedown 1.55 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Evloev connects on 4.03 strikes per min and landing 38% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Mike Grundy, who lands 58% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 3.40 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Raphael Pessoa is set to battle Tanner Boser. Boser will be looking to add a victory to his record of 18-6-1. The 28-year-old is fighting at 255 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Pessoa measures in at 6'3" and records a weight of 262 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 78". Regarding takedowns, Tanner Boser deflects 100% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of the times he tries. Pessoa is finishing his takedown tries on 20% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 100% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Boser absorbs 3.15 strikes/min while he lands 4.28 strikes per minute. Pessoa, on the contrary, takes 2.55 strikes/min and is dishing out 2.40 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jesse Ronson (+215)

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