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Mayra Bueno Silva vs Mara Romero Borella Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/17/2020

Mara Romero Borella UFC

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Mayra Bueno Silva vs Mara Romero Borella

UFC Vegas 11

UFC Apex

Saturday, September 19, 2020

Mayra Bueno Silva will face off against Mara Romero Borella at UFC Vegas 11 on Saturday, September 19, 2020. The opening moneyline has Silva priced at -255 while Borella is priced at +215.

Mayra "Sheetara" Bueno Silva holds a career mark of 6-1-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Mara Romero Borella measures in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 12-8-0. The 34-year-old reaches 69". Concerning significant strikes, Mayra Bueno Silva lands 4.87 per minute while Mara Romero Borella is connecting on 2.54 significant strikes per min. Bueno Silva lands 54% of the significant strikes she attempts while Romero Borella connects on 37%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Sheetara" takes 7.26 significant strikes per minute while Borella takes 2.54. Bueno Silva also deflects 44% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Romero Borella prevents 71% of the shots thrown.

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In terms of grappling, Mayra Bueno Silva is not as efficient of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 3 rds. Bueno Silva is finishing her takedown attempts on 10% of the times she tries and thwarting 75% of the takedowns her opponents try. Romero Borella is scoring a takedown on 43% of the takedowns she attempts and thwarting 66% of the attempts against her. In terms of going for the sub, Bueno Silva is the more able fighter by trying 1.4 submissions per 15 min while Romero Borella looks to get 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

In her last fight, Mayra Bueno Silva went up against Maryna Moroz and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Moroz landed 176 of 298 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Silva ended the night having landed 92 of 150 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Moroz landed 139 of 247, giving her a percentage of 56%. She landed 75 of 160 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Silva landed 60% of her significant strikes by landing 88 of 146. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 45 of 92 to the head. 79% of the significant strikes connected on by Moroz and 82% of them connected on by Silva were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Mara Romero Borella, she went up against Cortney Casey and was defeated via an armbar from bottom guard in round 1. Casey ended up landing 33% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance while Borella connected on 40% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Borella landed 71% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 5 of 7. She connected on 2 of 4 significant strikes aimed at the head. Casey connected on 6 of 12 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she ended up connecting on 4 of 8 to the head. When discussing total strikes that she let go, Casey ended up landing 18 of 24 while Borella was 21 of 24 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Colby Covington fights Tyron Woodley. Covington will be looking to add a win to his record of 15-2-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Woodley measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 19-5-1. The 38-year-old reaches 74". In the grappling category, Colby Covington is able to score a takedown 4.91 times per 3 rounds while Tyron Woodley is able to score a takedown 1.11 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Covington is landing 4.17 strikes/min and landing 37% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Tyron Woodley, who connects on 49% of the strikes he has tried and lands 2.38 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Niko Price is set to enter the Octagon with Donald Cerrone. Cerrone has a mark of 36-15-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Price stands 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-4-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 76". Concerning wrestling, Donald Cerrone is preventing 73% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 35% of his attempts. Price is taking his opponents to the mat on 23% of the tries he takes and deflects 61% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Cerrone is absorbing 4.27 strikes/minute while he lands 4.33 strikes/min. Price, in contrast, is taking 5.46 strikes per minute and deals 4.32 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Mara Romero Borella (+215)

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