Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/24/2020

Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira

UFC Fight Island 3

Saturday, July 25, 2020

Mauricio Rua will face off against Rogerio Nogueira at UFC Fight Island 3 at UFC Fight Island on Saturday, July 25, 2020. The moneyline has Rua coming in at -185 while Nogueira is priced at +160.

Mauricio "Shogun" Rua walks into the cage with a record of 26-11-1. The 38-year-old weighs 205 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Rogerio "Minotouro" Nogueira measures in at 6'2" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 23-9-0. The 44-year-old reaches 75". When talking about significant strikes, Mauricio Rua is connecting on 3.63 per minute while Rogerio Nogueira is landing 2.39 significant strikes per min. Rua connects on 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Nogueira connects on 34%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Shogun" allows 2.68 significant strikes per minute while "Minotouro" takes 2.27. Rua also defends 55% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Nogueira thwarts 60% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

Regarding wrestling, Mauricio Rua is the more effective wrestler as he scores a takedown 2.17 times per 15 min. Rua is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of the times he tries and stopping 47% of the takedowns his opponents try. Nogueira is finishing his takedown attempts on 44% of his takedown tries and stopping 62% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding subbing the opposition, Rua is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.8 finishes per 15 min while Nogueira attempts 1.2 finishes per 15 min.

In his previous fight, Mauricio Rua fought Paul Craig and ended up in a draw via split decision in round 3. Craig landed 106 of 160 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Rua ended the night having landed 51 of 108 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Craig ended up landing 51 of 99, which gave him a percentage of 51%. He finished the fight landing 30 of 71 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Rua landed 37% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 25 of 66. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 19 of 57 to the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Craig and 64% of them connected on by Rua were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Rogerio Nogueira, he squared up with Ryan Spann and was on the losing end of this fight by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Spann connected on 76% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Nogueira ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Nogueira ended up landing 25% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 6 of 24. He connected on 6 of 24 significant strikes to the head. Spann ended up connecting on 13 of 32 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 11 of 30 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Spann landed 13 of 32 while Nogueira connected on 6 of 24 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Fabricio Werdum clashes with Alexander Gustafsson. Werdum steps into the cage with a record of 23-9-1. The 42-year-old records a weight of 231 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Gustafsson comes in at 6'5" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 18-6-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 79". In the grappling category, Fabricio Werdum gets a takedown 1.71 times per 15 min and Alexander Gustafsson is averaging a takedown 1.56 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Werdum is landing 3.61 strikes/min and connects on 52% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Alexander Gustafsson, who is connecting on 40% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 4.02 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gadzhimurad Antigulov is set to meet Paul Craig. Craig looks to add a win to his record of 12-4-1. The 32-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Antigulov stands 5'11" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 20-6-0. The 33-year-old stretches 70". Regarding wrestling, Paul Craig curbs 57% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 21% of his tries. Antigulov is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 10% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Craig is taking 2.49 strikes per min while he dishes out 2.33 strikes/min. Antigulov, on the other side, is taking 5.92 strikes/minute and is dishing out 2.32 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Rogerio Nogueira (+160)

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Mauricio Rua vs Rogerio Nogueira Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

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