Mackenzie Dern vs Randa Markos Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/17/2020

Mackenzie Dern vs Randa Markos

UFC Vegas 11

UFC Apex

Saturday, September 19, 2020

Mackenzie Dern will enter the Octagon with Randa Markos at UFC Vegas 11 on Saturday, September 19, 2020. The opening moneyline has Dern coming in at -165 while Markos is coming in at +145.

Mackenzie Dern looks to add a victory to her career total of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Randa "Quiet Storm" Markos measures in at 5'4" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 10-9-1. The 35-year-old extends her reach 63". Concerning significant strikes, Mackenzie Dern lands 3.14 per minute while Randa Markos is landing 2.96 significant strikes per min. Dern is landing 32% of the significant strikes she attempts and Markos lands 41%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Dern allows 3.97 significant strikes per min while "Quiet Storm" absorbs 3.31. Dern also deflects 65% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Markos deflects 60% of the shots thrown.

Concerning grappling, Mackenzie Dern is not as effective of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.43 times per 3 rounds. Dern is finishing her takedown attempts on 7% of the times she tries and stopping 10% of all takedown attempts. Markos is getting her opponent to the mat on 28% of her takedown tries and defending 58% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. In terms of submissions, Dern is the more capable fighter by going for 1.3 finishes per 3 rounds while Markos tries 0.2 finishes per 3 rds.

The last time she fought, Mackenzie Dern fought Hannah Cifers and took home the victory by way of a kneebar from bottom guard in round 1. Cifers ended up landing 11 of 31 total strikes that she let go in that fight. Dern walked away from this fight having landed 5 of 21 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Cifers landed 7 of 26, which gave her a rate of 26%. She finished the fight landing 3 of 19 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Dern ended up landing 23% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 5 of 21. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 2 of 18 to the head. 42% of the significant strikes connected on by Cifers and 100% of them landed by Dern were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Randa Markos, she faced off with Amanda Ribas and was defeated by unanimous decision in round 3. Ribas ended up landing 52% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Markos landed 91% of her significant strikes at distance. Markos landed 46% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 36 of 77. She ended up landing 22 of 58 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ribas ended up connecting on 85 of 159 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 57 of 125 to the head. When discussing total strikes that she let go, Ribas ended up landing 173 of 254 and Markos ended up landing 56 of 99 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Mayra Bueno Silva takes on Mara Romero Borella. Bueno Silva holds a career mark of 6-1-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Romero Borella measures in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 12-8-0. The 34-year-old reaches 69". When it comes to grappling, Mayra Bueno Silva gets a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes while Mara Romero Borella takes her opponents to the mat 1.66 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Bueno Silva connects on 4.87 strikes/min and landing 54% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side we have Mara Romero Borella, who is landing 37% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 2.54 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Tyron Woodley is set to face off against Colby Covington. Covington will be looking to add a win to his record of 15-2-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Woodley measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 19-5-1. The 38-year-old reaches 74". Regarding takedowns, Colby Covington is able to thwart 78% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 51% of his tries. Woodley is taking his opponents down on 39% of his tries and is able to defend against 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Covington absorbs 3.02 strikes per min and he deals 4.17 per min. Woodley, at the same time, is taking 2.65 strikes/min and lands 2.38 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Mackenzie Dern (-165)

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Mackenzie Dern vs Randa Markos Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

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