Loma Lookboonmee vs Jinh Yu Frey Pick, 10/3/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 4 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/2/2020

Loma Lookboonmee vs Jinh Yu Frey

UFC Fight Island 4

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 3, 2020

Loma Lookboonmee will battle Jinh Yu Frey at UFC Fight Island 4 on Saturday, October 3, 2020. The opening line has Lookboonmee priced at -150 while Frey is coming in at +130.

Loma Lookboonmee comes into this fight holding a mark of 4-2-0. The 24-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 61". Jinh Yu Frey measures in at 5'3" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 9-5-0. The 35-year-old reaches 65". With respect to significant strikes, Loma Lookboonmee lands 5.07 per min and Jinh Yu Frey is connecting on 2.09 significant strikes per minute. Lookboonmee is landing 54% of the significant strikes she attempts and Yu Frey lands 56%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Lookboonmee absorbs 3.77 significant strikes per min while Frey absorbs 2.49. Lookboonmee also prevents 60% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Yu Frey deflects 43% of the strikes thrown her way.

In terms of grappling, Loma Lookboonmee is the more skilled wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 3 rounds. Lookboonmee is scoring a takedown on 28% of her tries and stuffing 71% of the takedowns her opponents try. Yu Frey is scoring a takedown on 10% of her takedown tries and is stopping 81% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Lookboonmee is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.3 subs per 15 minutes while Yu Frey goes for 0.6 subs per 3 rds.

The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Loma Lookboonmee went up against Angela Hill and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Hill ended up landing 70 of 163 total strikes that she let go. Lookboonmee finished this fight landing 68 of 156 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Hill ended up landing 48 of 126, which means her percentage was 38%. She ended up landing 38 of 101 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Lookboonmee landed 40% of her significant strikes by connecting on 53 of 130. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 24 of 83 aimed at the head. 64% of the significant strikes connected on by Hill and 81% of them landed by Lookboonmee were done at a distance.

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In the last bout for Jinh Yu Frey, she faced off with Kay Hansen and wound up losing the fight via an armbar in round 3. Hansen connected on 51% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Frey landed 88% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Frey ended up landing 56% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 26 of 46. She ended up connecting on 7 of 22 significant strikes directed at the head. Hansen landed 31 of 55 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she ended up landing 16 of 37 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown in that contest, Hansen landed 43 of 67 while Frey was 27 of 48 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Yorgan De Castro fights Carlos Felipe. De Castro will be looking to add a victory to his record of 6-1-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 250 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Felipe measures 6'0" and is fighting at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old reaches 75". Concerning takedowns, Yorgan De Castro scores a takedown 0.40 times per 15 min while Carlos Felipe is able to score a takedown 0.20 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, De Castro connects on 2.19 strikes per minute and is landing 41% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Carlos Felipe, who is connecting on 36% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 2.93 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Court McGee is set to enter the Octagon with Carlos Condit. Condit steps into the Octagon with a mark of 30-13-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". McGee stands 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 20-9-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Concerning wrestling, Carlos Condit stops 36% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 55% of his attempts. McGee is taking his opponents to the mat on 21% of his tries and is able to deflect 63% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Condit is absorbing 2.34 strikes/minute while he lands 3.56 strikes per min. McGee, moreover, takes 3.80 strikes/min and dishes out 4.86 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Loma Lookboonmee (-150)

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