Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/17/2020

Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert

UFC Vegas 11

UFC Apex

Saturday, September 19, 2020

Khamzat Chimaev will enter the Octagon with Gerald Meerschaert at UFC Vegas 11 on Saturday, September 19, 2020. The odds have Chimaev priced at -390 while Meerschaert is at +320.

Khamzat "Borz" Chimaev has a career record of 8-0-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Gerald "GM3" Meerschaert measures in at 6'1" and weighs 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 31-13-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 77". Concerning significant strikes, Khamzat Chimaev is connecting on 8.88 per minute while Gerald Meerschaert connects on 3.31 significant strikes per minute. Chimaev lands 72% of the significant strikes he attempts and Meerschaert is landing 42%. In terms of defending themselves, "Borz" takes 0.11 significant strikes per min while "GM3" takes 3.58. Chimaev also stops 50% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Meerschaert is able to stop 51% of them.

Concerning takedowns, Khamzat Chimaev is the better grappler as he gets a takedown 4.81 times per 15 minutes. Chimaev is finishing his takedown attempts on 75% of his attempts and is defending 10% of all takedown attempts. Meerschaert is taking his opponents to the mat on 43% of his takedown tries and stopping 46% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Chimaev is the more capable fighter by trying 3.2 submissions per 15 min while Meerschaert attempts 1.7 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his last fight, Khamzat Chimaev fought Rhys McKee and wound up taking home the win by way of punches to the head from the mount position in round 1. Chimaev walked away from this fight having landed 68 of 98 total strikes. Chimaev landed 64% of his significant strikes by landing 40 of 62. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 40 of 62 aimed at the head.

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In the last bout for Gerald Meerschaert, he fought Ian Heinisch and took a loss on the night by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Heinisch ended up connecting on 25% of his significant strikes at distance and Meerschaert landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Meerschaert connected on 30% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 3 of 10. He ended up connecting on 1 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. Heinisch landed 20 of 25 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 17 of 22 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown in that contest, Heinisch was 22 of 27 while Meerschaert ended up landing 3 of 10 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Johnny Walker squares up in the Octagon against Ryan Spann. Walker steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-5-0. The 28-year-old weighs 205 lbs and stands in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 82". Spann stands in at 6'5" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 18-5-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 79". Regarding grappling, Johnny Walker takes his opponents down 0.43 times per 15 minutes while Ryan Spann gets a takedown 1.13 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Walker lands 4.01 strikes/minute and is connecting on 70% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Ryan Spann, who is landing 43% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 3.32 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Darren Stewart is set to encounter Kevin Holland. Holland walks into the cage with a record of 18-5-0. The 27-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 81". Stewart comes in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 12-5-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding takedowns, Kevin Holland is able to deflect 51% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 43% of his tries. Stewart is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his tries and defends against 64% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Holland is taking 2.69 strikes/minute while he dishes out 4.65 strikes/min. Stewart, on the contrary, takes 2.47 strikes per minute and deals 2.97 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Khamzat Chimaev (-390)

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Khamzat Chimaev vs Gerald Meerschaert Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

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