Julian Marquez vs Saparbek Safarov Pick, 11/14/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 14 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/12/2020

Julian Marquez vs Saparbek Safarov

UFC Vegas 14

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 14, 2020

Julian Marquez will face off with Saparbek Safarov at UFC Vegas 14 on Saturday, November 14, 2020. The moneyline has Marquez priced at -300 while Safarov is priced at +250.

Julian "The Cuban Missle Crisis" Marquez looks to add a victory to his total of 7-2-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Saparbek Safarov stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-3-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 78". When talking about significant strikes, Julian Marquez lands 3.80 per minute while Saparbek Safarov is landing 4.03 significant strikes per minute. Marquez connects on 40% of the significant strikes he tries and Safarov lands 48%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Cuban Missle Crisis" allows 3.33 significant strikes per minute and Safarov takes 2.96. Marquez also curbs 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Safarov defends against 47% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Regarding takedowns, Julian Marquez is the not as competent as a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rounds. Marquez is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of his tries and is stopping 52% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Safarov is finishing his takedowns on 41% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 33% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to going for the submission, Marquez is the more able fighter by attempting 3.0 finishes per 3 rounds while Safarov goes for 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds.

In his last bout, Julian Marquez fought Alessio Di Chirico and ended up walking away in defeat by way of split decision in round 3. Chirico ended up landing 55 of 122 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Marquez ended the night having landed 49 of 149 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Chirico ended up landing 50 of 116, which means his percentage was 43%. He finished the fight landing 30 of 90 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Marquez landed 31% of his significant strikes by connecting on 47 of 147. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 28 of 120 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Chirico and 89% of them landed by Marquez were thrown at a distance.

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In the last bout for Saparbek Safarov, he went up against Rodolfo Vieira and walked away with a loss via an arm triangle in round 1. Vieira ended up landing 10% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Safarov landed 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Safarov landed 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 5 of 10. He connected on 2 of 7 significant strikes to the head. Vieira connected on 5 of 10 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 5 of 10 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Vieira ended up landing 10 of 15 and Safarov landed 7 of 12 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Eryk Anders squares up against Antonio Arroyo. Anders looks to add a victory to his career record of 13-5-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Arroyo stands 6'3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 73". In terms of takedowns, Eryk Anders is able to score a takedown 1.34 times per 3 rounds and Antonio Arroyo takes his opponents to the mat 1.95 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Anders connects on 3.02 strikes per minute and is connecting on 45% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Antonio Arroyo, who tags the opposition on 69% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.12 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Sean Strickland is set to square up with Brendan Allen. Allen looks to add a victory to his total of 15-3-0. The 24-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Strickland comes in at 6'1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 21-3-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 76". In terms of grappling, Brendan Allen thwarts 55% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of his tries. Strickland is finishing his takedowns on 57% of the tries he takes and prevents 81% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Allen takes 2.55 strikes per minute while he dishes out 2.67 per minute. Strickland, on the other side, is taking 3.57 strikes/min and dishes out 4.64 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Julian Marquez (-300)

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