Jose Quinonez vs Louis Smolka Pick, 11/14/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 14 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/12/2020

Jose Quinonez vs Louis Smolka

UFC Vegas 14

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 14, 2020

Jose Quinonez will enter the Octagon against Louis Smolka at UFC Vegas 14 on Saturday, November 14, 2020. The odds have Quinonez priced at +125 while Smolka is coming in at -145.

Jose "Teco" Quinonez looks to add a victory to his record of 9-4-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 69". Louis "Da Last Samurai" Smolka measures 5'9" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 16-7-0. The 29-year-old reaches 68". In terms of significant strikes, Jose Quinonez lands 3.41 per minute and Louis Smolka connects on 4.25 significant strikes per min. Quinonez is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he throws and Smolka is connecting on 46%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Teco" absorbs 2.58 significant strikes per min and "Da Last Samurai" allows 3.62. Quinonez also stops 66% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Smolka deflects 52% of the shots thrown.

Concerning grappling, Jose Quinonez is the more capable wrestler as he scores a takedown 2.58 times per 15 minutes. Quinonez is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of his tries and thwarting 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Smolka is scoring a takedown on 34% of his takedown tries and is defending 30% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Quinonez is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.7 submissions per 3 rds while Smolka tries 2.0 submissions per 3 rds.

In his previous bout, Jose Quinonez faced Sean O'Malley and was on the losing end of this fight by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. O'Malley ended up landing 18 of 22 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Quinonez finished this fight landing 1 of 11 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, O'Malley landed 18 of 22, which means his percentage was 81%. He landed 9 of 11 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Quinonez landed 8% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 1 of 11. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 0 of 7 aimed at the head. 72% of the significant strikes connected on by O'Malley and 10% of them landed by Quinonez were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Louis Smolka, he battled Casey Kenney and wound up walking away in defeat via guillotine choke in round 1. Kenney connected on 96% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Smolka landed 88% of his significant strikes at distance. Smolka connected on 41% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 18 of 43. He landed 4 of 16 significant strikes directed at the head. Kenney connected on 32 of 52 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 15 of 34 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Kenney landed 32 of 52 and Smolka landed 18 of 43 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Geraldo de Freitas faces off against Tony Gravely. de Freitas looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-5-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Gravely measures 5'5" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 19-6-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 69". In terms of takedowns, Geraldo de Freitas takes his opponents to the mat 4.00 times per 15 minutes and Tony Gravely takes his opponents down 4.77 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, de Freitas lands 2.97 strikes/min and connecting on 47% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Tony Gravely, who is landing 59% of the strikes that he throws and lands an average of 3.94 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Roque Martinez is set to square up with Don'Tale Mayes. Mayes comes into this fight holding a mark of 7-4-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 260 lbs and measures 6'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 81". Martinez stands 5'10" and records a weight of 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 15-6-2. The 34-year-old stretches 72". Regarding takedowns, Don'Tale Mayes thwarts 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 43% of his tries. Martinez is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 41% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Mayes is taking 4.64 strikes/minute while he is landing 4.19 strikes/minute. Martinez, notwithstanding, absorbs 5.87 strikes per minute and dishes out 0.75 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jose Quinonez (+125)

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Jose Quinonez vs Louis Smolka Pick, 11/14/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 14 Odds

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