Jose Aldo vs Marlon Vera Pick, 12/19/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 17 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/18/2020

Jose Aldo vs Marlon Vera

UFC Vegas 17

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 19, 2020

Jose Aldo will battle Marlon Vera at UFC Vegas 17 on Saturday, December 19, 2020. The opening moneyline has Aldo priced at -150 while Vera is at +130.

Jose Aldo has a record of 28-7-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Marlon "Chito" Vera stands in at 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 16-6-1. The 28-year-old has a reach of 70". In the category of significant strikes, Jose Aldo connects on 3.48 per minute while Marlon Vera lands 3.70 significant strikes per minute. Aldo is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he throws while Vera connects on 48%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Aldo takes 3.55 significant strikes per minute while "Chito" takes 4.05. Aldo also stops 62% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Vera is able to deflect 52% of the shots thrown his way.

In the grappling category, Jose Aldo is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 minutes. Aldo is getting his opponent to the mat on 61% of the times he tries and stuffing 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Vera is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his takedown tries and is stopping 69% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Aldo is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.1 finishes per 3 rds while Vera goes for 1.2 finishes per 15 min.

In his previous bout, Jose Aldo squared up with Petr Yan and wound up losing the fight via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 5. Yan ended up landing 258 of 376 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Aldo finished this fight landing 83 of 157 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Yan landed 194 of 309, which gave him a rate of 62%. He finished the fight landing 150 of 256 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Aldo landed 52% of his significant strikes by connecting on 83 of 157. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 38 of 97 to the head. 51% of the significant strikes connected on by Yan and 97% of them connected on by Aldo were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Marlon Vera, he faced off with Sean O'Malley and wound up taking home the victory by way of an elbow to the head in round 1. O'Malley ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Vera connected on 61% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Vera connected on 60% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 18 of 30. He landed 5 of 10 significant strikes aimed at the head. O'Malley ended up connecting on 10 of 21 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 3 of 12 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, O'Malley was 10 of 21 while Vera landed 18 of 30 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Michel Pereira opposes Khaos Williams. Pereira has a mark of 24-11-0. The 27-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Williams stands in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 77". Regarding grappling, Michel Pereira is able to score a takedown 1.68 times per 3 rounds and Khaos Williams takes his opponents down 0.00 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Pereira tags his opponents 4.02 strikes per minute and is connecting on 54% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Khaos Williams, who connects on 55% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 15.79 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Rob Font is set to face off with Marlon Moraes. Moraes looks to add a win to his career record of 23-7-1. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Font stands in at 5'8" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 17-4-0. The 33-year-old reaches 71". In terms of grappling, Marlon Moraes is thwarting 66% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his attempts. Font is taking his opponents to the mat on 36% of his tries and is able to deflect 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Moraes absorbs 3.91 strikes/min and he is landing 3.43 strikes per min. Font, in contrast, is absorbing 3.89 strikes per min and lands 5.11 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Marlon Vera (+130)

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Jose Aldo vs Marlon Vera Pick, 12/19/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 17 Odds

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