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Johnny Walker vs Ryan Spann Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/17/2020

Johnny Walker UFC

Free Picks

Johnny Walker vs Ryan Spann

UFC Vegas 11

UFC Apex

Saturday, September 19, 2020

Johnny Walker will face off with Ryan Spann at UFC Vegas 11 on Saturday, September 19, 2020. The line has Walker at -125 while Spann is at +105.

Johnny Walker steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-5-0. The 28-year-old weighs 205 lbs and stands in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 82". Ryan "Superman" Spann stands in at 6'5" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 18-5-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 79". When talking about significant strikes, Johnny Walker is landing 4.01 per min while Ryan Spann lands 3.32 significant strikes per min. Walker is landing 70% of the significant strikes he attempts while Spann connects on 43%. Regarding defense, Walker allows 3.58 significant strikes per minute while "Superman" absorbs 3.01. Walker also deflects 30% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Spann deflects 50% of the shots thrown in his direction.

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In the category of takedowns, Johnny Walker is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.43 times per 3 rounds. Walker is finishing his takedown attempts on 90% of his tries and is defending 69% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Spann is taking his opponents down on 30% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the sub, Walker is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 1.3 subs per 15 minutes while Spann goes for 1.9 subs per 15 minutes.

The last time he fought, Johnny Walker squared up with Nikita Krylov and was defeated by unanimous decision in round 3. Krylov ended up landing 128 of 148 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Walker finished this fight landing 91 of 112 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Krylov ended up landing 45 of 58, which gave him a rate of 77%. He ended up landing 38 of 49 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Walker landed 74% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 37 of 50. Of those significant strikes, he was 33 of 45 to the head. 22% of the significant strikes connected on by Krylov and 27% of them connected on by Walker were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Ryan Spann, he faced off with Sam Alvey and took home the victory via split decision in round 3. Alvey ended up connecting on 80% of his significant strikes at distance while Spann ended up connecting on 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Spann connected on 44% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 51 of 115. He connected on 41 of 102 significant strikes directed at the head. Alvey ended up connecting on 57 of 108 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 40 of 90 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Alvey landed 103 of 156 and Spann landed 52 of 116 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Kevin Holland enters the Octagon with Darren Stewart. Holland walks into the cage with a record of 18-5-0. The 27-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 81". Stewart comes in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 12-5-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding grappling, Kevin Holland gets a takedown 1.12 times per 3 rds while Darren Stewart is able to score a takedown 1.32 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Holland connects for an average of 4.65 strikes per min and lands 55% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Darren Stewart, who is landing 43% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 2.97 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when David Dvorak is set to enter the Octagon with Jordan Espinosa. Espinosa holds a career mark of 15-7-0. The 30-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Dvorak stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 18-3-0. The 28-year-old reaches 68". When it comes to takedowns, Jordan Espinosa defends against 88% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 30% of his tries. Dvorak is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of the attempts he tries and deflects 72% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Espinosa is taking 2.84 strikes per min while he is connecting on 5.49 strikes/min. Dvorak, moreover, absorbs 3.00 strikes per min and lands 4.47 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Ryan Spann (+105)

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