Joe Duffy vs Joel Alvarez Picks and Predictions 7-18-2020 UFC Fight Island 2 Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/16/2020

Joe Duffy vs Joel Alvarez

UFC Fight Island 2

UFC Fight Island

Saturday, July 18, 2020

Joe Duffy will take on Joel Alvarez at UFC Fight Island 2 at UFC Fight Island on Saturday, July 18, 2020. The line has Duffy coming in at -350 while Alvarez is coming in at +290.

Joe "Irish" Duffy looks to add a victory to his career total of 16-4-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Joel "El Fenomeno" Alvarez measures 6'3" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 16-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 77". With respect to significant strikes, Joe Duffy lands 2.56 per minute while Joel Alvarez lands 2.55 significant strikes per minute. Duffy lands 33% of the significant strikes he throws and Alvarez lands 33%. Regarding defense, "Irish" absorbs 3.63 significant strikes per minute and "El Fenomeno" allows 3.44. Duffy also deflects 54% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Alvarez is able to deflect 54% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In terms of takedowns, Joe Duffy is the more capable grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.75 times per 3 rounds. Duffy is scoring a takedown on 60% of the times he tries and defending 64% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Alvarez is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 10% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the sub, Duffy is the more able fighter by trying 0.8 subs per 3 rounds while Alvarez looks to get 0.4 subs per 3 rds.

In his last fight, Joe Duffy went up against Marc Diakiese and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Diakiese ended up landing 80 of 125 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Duffy ended the night having landed 24 of 71 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Diakiese landed 63 of 106, which means his percentage was 59%. He finished the fight landing 19 of 56 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Duffy landed 25% of his significant strikes by connecting on 15 of 60. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 8 of 50 to the head. 87% of the significant strikes connected on by Diakiese and 93% of them landed by Duffy were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Joel Alvarez, he faced off with Danilo Belluardo and wound up taking home the win by way of punches to the head in round 2. Belluardo ended up connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Alvarez ended up connecting on 26% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Alvarez ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 19 of 41. He connected on 16 of 32 significant strikes aimed at the head. Belluardo ended up connecting on 13 of 20 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 9 of 16 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Belluardo ended up connecting on 56 of 68 and Alvarez ended up landing 87 of 113 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Brett Johns squares up with Montel Jackson. Johns has a career mark of 16-2-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Jackson comes in at 5'10" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 75". In terms of takedowns, Brett Johns is able to score a takedown 4.29 times per 15 minutes and Montel Jackson takes his opponents down 4.84 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Johns is landing 3.30 strikes/minute and landing 48% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Montel Jackson, who connects on 55% of the strikes he has tried and lands 4.16 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Luana Carolina is set to take on Ariane Lipski. Lipski will be looking to add a win to her record of 12-5-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Carolina stands 5'6" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 6-1-0. The 27-year-old reaches 69". Regarding wrestling, Ariane Lipski is able to defend against 37% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 90% of the times she tries. Carolina is finishing her takedown tries on 10% of the attempts she tries and is able to curb 95% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Lipski is absorbing 4.62 strikes/min and she is dealing 3.38 strikes per min. Carolina, on the other side, absorbs 3.83 strikes/minute and lands 6.53 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Joe Duffy (-350)

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Joe Duffy vs Joel Alvarez Picks and Predictions 7-18-2020 UFC Fight Island 2 Odds

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