Jamahal Hill vs Klidson Abreu Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 9 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/26/2020

Jamahal Hill vs Klidson Abreu

UFC on ESPN 9

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 30, 2020

Jamahal Hill will take on Klidson Abreu at UFC on ESPN 9 at UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, May 30, 2020. The moneyline has Hill coming in at -125 while Abreu is at +105.

Jamahal "Sweet Dreams" Hill looks to add a win to his career total of 7-0-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 79". Klidson "White Bear" Abreu measures in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 15-4-0. The 27-year-old stretches 74". Regarding significant strikes, Jamahal Hill is landing 7.92 per min while Klidson Abreu lands 2.02 significant strikes per min. Hill connects on 52% of the significant strikes he throws and Abreu lands 39%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Sweet Dreams" allows 2.82 significant strikes per min while "White Bear" absorbs 2.71. Hill also thwarts 50% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Abreu curbs 56% of the shots thrown.

Regarding grappling, Jamahal Hill is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.20 times per 3 rounds. Hill is scoring a takedown on 10% of his tries and thwarting 53% of all takedown tries against him. Abreu is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Hill is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Abreu goes for 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last bout, Jamahal Hill fought Darko Stosic and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Stosic ended up landing 32 of 81 total strikes that he let go. Hill finished this fight landing 102 of 236 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Stosic ended up landing 31 of 72, which means his percentage was 43%. He ended up landing 20 of 56 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Hill ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes by connecting on 101 of 233. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 49 of 167 to the head. 80% of the significant strikes connected on by Stosic and 100% of them connected on by Hill were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Klidson Abreu, he squared up with Shamil Gamzatov and ended up losing the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Gamzatov ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Abreu ended up connecting on 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Abreu ended up connecting on 41% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 32 of 78. He ended up landing 11 of 48 significant strikes to the head. Gamzatov connected on 64 of 138 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 10 of 59 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Gamzatov ended up landing 82 of 158 while Abreu connected on 47 of 95 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Louis Smolka enters the Octagon against Casey Kenney. Smolka comes into this fight with a record of 16-6-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Kenney stands 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-2-1. The 29-year-old stretches 68". In the grappling category, Louis Smolka takes his opponents to the mat 1.65 times per 15 min while Casey Kenney takes his opponents down 1.40 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Smolka tags his opponents 4.22 strikes/min and landing 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Casey Kenney, who is connecting on 40% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.39 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Vince Morales is set to enter the Octagon with Chris Gutierrez. Gutierrez walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-3-0. The 29-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Morales comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 9-4-0. The 29-year-old stretches 70". In terms of wrestling, Chris Gutierrez is preventing 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of the times he tries. Morales is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of his attempts and defends against 55% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Gutierrez is taking 2.30 strikes/min while he is dishing out 3.65 per min. Morales, moreover, is taking 3.76 strikes/min and connects on 4.84 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jamahal Hill (-125)

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