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Jack Hermansson vs Kelvin Gastelum Picks and Predictions 7-18-2020 UFC Fight Island 2 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/16/2020

Kelvin Gastelum UFC

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Jack Hermansson vs Kelvin Gastelum

UFC Fight Island 2

UFC Fight Island

Saturday, July 18, 2020

Jack Hermansson will face off with Kelvin Gastelum at UFC Fight Island 2 on Saturday, July 18, 2020. The moneyline has Hermansson at +100 while Gastelum is priced at -120.

Jack "The Joker" Hermansson looks to add a win to his record of 20-5-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 77". Kelvin Gastelum measures 5'9" and weighs 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 16-5-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 71". When talking about significant strikes, Jack Hermansson is connecting on 5.13 per min and Kelvin Gastelum connects on 3.75 significant strikes per min. Hermansson is landing 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Gastelum is connecting on 43%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Joker" takes 2.56 significant strikes per min and Gastelum takes 3.01. Hermansson also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Gastelum stops 59% of the shots thrown his way.

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In terms of wrestling, Jack Hermansson is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he is averaging a takedown 2.23 times per 15 minutes. Hermansson is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of the times he tries and is defending 77% of all takedown attempts. Gastelum is finishing his takedown attempts on 35% of his takedown tries and is defending 62% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Hermansson is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 0.7 subs per 3 rounds while Gastelum looks to get 0.2 subs per 3 rounds.

In his last bout, Jack Hermansson went up against Jared Cannonier and ended up taking the loss via a punch to the head in round 2. Cannonier landed 29 of 54 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Hermansson finished this fight landing 22 of 45 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Cannonier ended up landing 28 of 53, which gave him a percentage of 52%. He landed 21 of 43 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Hermansson ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by connecting on 20 of 42. Out of those significant strikes, he was 5 of 21 to the head. 35% of the significant strikes connected on by Cannonier and 95% of them landed by Hermansson were done at a distance.

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In the last fight for Kelvin Gastelum, he faced off with Darren Till and wound up losing the fight by way of split decision in round 3. Till ended up connecting on 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Gastelum landed 65% of his significant strikes at distance. Gastelum connected on 49% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 40 of 81. He ended up connecting on 8 of 41 significant strikes aimed at the head. Till ended up landing 36 of 67 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 19 of 48 aimed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Till connected on 37 of 69 and Gastelum was 50 of 96 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Marc Diakiese faces off against Rafael Fiziev. Diakiese steps into the Octagon with a record of 14-3-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Fiziev measures 5'8" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 7-1-0. The 27-year-old stretches 71". In the grappling category, Marc Diakiese is able to score a takedown 2.50 times per 15 min and Rafael Fiziev is averaging a takedown 0.91 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Diakiese connects for an average of 2.86 strikes per min and is connecting on 37% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Rafael Fiziev, who is connecting on 50% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 4.08 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Askar Askarov is set to fight Alexandre Pantoja. Pantoja holds a record of 22-4-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Askarov stands 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 11-0-1. The 27-year-old stretches 67". When it comes to takedowns, Alexandre Pantoja is stopping 60% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 35% of his tries. Askarov is taking his opponents down on 22% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 66% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Pantoja is taking 3.53 strikes/min and he is landing 4.58 strikes/min. Askarov, on the other side, absorbs 2.70 strikes/minute and lands 3.43 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Kelvin Gastelum (-120)

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