Ilia Topuria vs Damon Jackson Pick, 12/5/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 16 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/3/2020

Ilia Topuria vs Damon Jackson

UFC Vegas 16

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 5, 2020

Ilia Topuria will enter the Octagon against Damon Jackson at UFC Vegas 16 on Saturday, December 5, 2020. The line has Topuria at -250 while Jackson is at +210.

Ilia Topuria walks into the cage holding a record of 9-0-0. The 23-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Damon "The Leech" Jackson stands in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 18-3-1. The 32-year-old reaches 71". In terms of significant strikes, Ilia Topuria is connecting on 0.87 per minute while Damon Jackson lands 2.20 significant strikes per minute. Topuria is connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he tries while Jackson connects on 36%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Topuria takes 1.13 significant strikes per minute while "The Leech" takes 3.05. Topuria also deflects 67% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Jackson is able to thwart 43% of the shots thrown.

In terms of takedowns, Ilia Topuria is the more apt grappler as he scores a takedown 5.00 times per 3 rds. Topuria is scoring a takedown on 55% of his attempts and is stopping 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Jackson is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 35% of the attempts against him. When it comes to submissions, Topuria is the more skilled technician by attempting 5.0 submissions per 15 min while Jackson attempts 2.9 submissions per 3 rds.

In his previous bout, Ilia Topuria went up against Youssef Zalal and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Zalal landed 40 of 85 total strikes attempted in that contest. Topuria walked away from this fight having landed 30 of 62 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Zalal landed 17 of 53, which means his percentage was 32%. He landed 10 of 43 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Topuria ended up landing 39% of his significant strikes by connecting on 13 of 33. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 7 of 23 to the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Zalal and 92% of them connected on by Topuria were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Damon Jackson, he battled Mirsad Bektic and took home the win via guillotine choke in round 3. Bektic ended up connecting on 30% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Jackson ended up landing 16% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Jackson ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 12 of 26. He landed 10 of 23 significant strikes to the head. Bektic landed 13 of 21 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 9 of 16 to the head. In regard to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Bektic was 76 of 102 and Jackson ended up connecting on 20 of 34 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Gian Villante faces off against Jake Collier. Villante looks to add a win to his total of 17-12-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 230 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 76". Collier stands in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 230 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 11-5-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 78". Regarding grappling, Gian Villante is averaging a takedown 0.49 times per 15 min while Jake Collier takes his opponents to the canvas 0.71 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Villante lands 4.32 strikes per min and connects on 44% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Jake Collier, who tags his opponent on 39% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 4.15 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Taila Santos is set to square up against Montana De La Rosa. De La Rosa comes into this bout holding a record of 11-6-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Santos measures 5'6" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 16-1-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 68". Regarding takedowns, Montana De La Rosa is thwarting 57% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 30% of her tries. Santos is taking her opponents to the mat on 77% of her tries and thwarts 83% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. With regard to striking, De La Rosa is taking 3.38 strikes/min while she is dealing 3.03 per min. Santos, moreover, takes 2.76 strikes/min and is connecting on 4.09 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ilia Topuria (-250)

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Ilia Topuria vs Damon Jackson Pick, 12/5/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 16 Odds

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