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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Grant Dawson vs Nad Narimani Picks and Predictions 7-18-2020 UFC Fight Island 2 Odds

Grant Dawson vs Nad Narimani Picks and Predictions 7-18-2020 UFC Fight Island 2 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/16/2020

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Grant Dawson vs Nad Narimani

UFC Fight Island 2

UFC Fight Island

Saturday, July 18, 2020

Grant Dawson will battle Nad Narimani at UFC Fight Island 2 at UFC Fight Island on Saturday, July 18, 2020. The opening line has Dawson at -235 while Narimani is priced at +195.

Grant "KGD" Dawson comes into this bout holding a record of 15-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 72". Nad "Smiler" Narimani measures 5'8" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 12-3-0. The 33-year-old reaches 70". Concerning significant strikes, Grant Dawson connects on 3.48 per minute and Nad Narimani is connecting on 3.80 significant strikes per min. Dawson lands 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Narimani is landing 43%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "KGD" allows 2.15 significant strikes per min while "Smiler" takes 2.80. Dawson also defends 45% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Narimani is able to thwart 60% of the shots thrown.

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In terms of takedowns, Grant Dawson is the more efficient wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 5.09 times per 3 rounds. Dawson is finishing his takedown attempts on 48% of his tries and is stopping 33% of the takedowns his opponents try. Narimani is scoring a takedown on 41% of his takedown tries and defending 75% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Dawson is the more able fighter by trying 2.5 finishes per 15 min while Narimani tries 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.

In his last bout, Grant Dawson squared up with Darrick Minner and ended up getting the win by rear naked choke in round 2. Minner landed 26 of 29 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Dawson walked away from this fight having landed 42 of 52 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Minner ended up landing 4 of 7, which gave him a rate of 57%. He landed 1 of 3 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Dawson landed 68% of his significant strikes by landing 15 of 22. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 14 of 21 to the head. 50% of the significant strikes connected on by Minner and 6% of them connected on by Dawson were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Nad Narimani, he battled Mike Grundy and ended up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Grundy landed 60% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Narimani ended up landing 90% of his significant strikes at distance. Narimani landed 23% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 22 of 95. He landed 16 of 82 significant strikes directed at the head. Grundy ended up landing 33 of 56 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 32 of 54 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Grundy landed 36 of 59 while Narimani connected on 22 of 95 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Joe Duffy opposes Joel Alvarez. Duffy looks to add a victory to his career total of 16-4-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Alvarez measures 6'3" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 16-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 77". In terms of takedowns, Joe Duffy scores a takedown 0.75 times per 15 min and Joel Alvarez gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Duffy connects on 2.56 strikes per minute and connects on 33% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Joel Alvarez, who connects on 33% of his attempted strikes and connects on 2.55 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Montel Jackson is set to fight Brett Johns. Johns has a career mark of 16-2-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Jackson comes in at 5'10" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 9-1-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 75". Concerning wrestling, Brett Johns prevents 61% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 52% of his attempts. Jackson is finishing his takedowns on 79% of his tries and is able to stop 70% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Johns is taking 4.27 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 3.30 strikes per min. Jackson, moreover, is absorbing 1.51 strikes per minute and is dealing 4.16 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Nad Narimani (+195)

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