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Germaine de Randamie vs Julianna Pena Pick, 10/3/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 4 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/2/2020

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Germaine de Randamie vs Julianna Pena

UFC Fight Island 4

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 3, 2020

Germaine de Randamie will face off with Julianna Pena at UFC Fight Island 4 on Saturday, October 3, 2020. The opening moneyline has Randamie coming in at -150 while Pena is at +130.

Germaine "The Iron Lady" de Randamie comes into this bout with a mark of 9-4-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 71". Julianna "The Venezuelan Vixen" Pena measures 5'6" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 69". In the category of significant strikes, Germaine de Randamie is connecting on 2.72 per min and Julianna Pena is connecting on 2.96 significant strikes per min. de Randamie lands 47% of the significant strikes she attempts while Pena connects on 51%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Iron Lady" takes 2.15 significant strikes per min while "The Venezuelan Vixen" allows 1.51. de Randamie also stops 64% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Pena is able to stop 47% of the shots thrown in her direction.

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In terms of wrestling, Germaine de Randamie is not as efficient of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 3 rds. de Randamie is scoring a takedown on 10% of her tries and is defending 71% of all takedown attempts. Pena is getting her opponent to the mat on 52% of the takedowns she attempts and is defending 28% of the attempts against her. In terms of going for the submission, de Randamie is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 min while Pena looks to get 0.9 subs per 15 minutes.

In her last bout, Germaine de Randamie fought Amanda Nunes and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Nunes landed 199 of 337 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Randamie walked away from this fight having landed 126 of 175 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Nunes landed 79 of 184, which gave her a rate of 42%. She landed 63 of 162 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Randamie ended up landing 54% of her significant strikes by landing 40 of 73. Out of those significant strikes, she connected on 19 of 48 pointed at the head. 18% of the significant strikes connected on by Nunes and 47% of them landed by Randamie were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Julianna Pena, she battled Nicco Montano and ended up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Montano landed 68% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Pena ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Pena landed 50% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 45 of 90. She landed 32 of 73 significant strikes directed at the head. Montano ended up connecting on 38 of 79 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up landing 13 of 50 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes that she let go in that contest, Montano ended up connecting on 59 of 103 while Pena ended up landing 108 of 158 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Loma Lookboonmee faces off against Jinh Yu Frey. Lookboonmee comes into this fight holding a mark of 4-2-0. The 24-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 61". Yu Frey measures in at 5'3" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 9-5-0. The 35-year-old reaches 65". Regarding grappling, Loma Lookboonmee is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 15 minutes and Jinh Yu Frey takes her opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Lookboonmee connects for an average of 5.07 strikes per minute and landing 54% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Jinh Yu Frey, who is landing 56% of the strikes she has attempted and lands an average of 2.09 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Carlos Felipe is set to battle Yorgan De Castro. De Castro will be looking to add a victory to his record of 6-1-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 250 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Felipe measures 6'0" and is fighting at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old reaches 75". In the category of takedowns, Yorgan De Castro is able to thwart 75% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his attempts. Felipe is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of his attempts and curbs 57% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, De Castro is absorbing 2.99 strikes per minute while he connects on 2.19 per min. Felipe, on the other side, absorbs 4.87 strikes per minute and deals 2.93 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Julianna Pena (+130)

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