Gabriel Benitez vs Justin Jaynes Pick, 12/5/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 16 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/3/2020

Gabriel Benitez vs Justin Jaynes

UFC Vegas 16

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 5, 2020

Gabriel Benitez will take on Justin Jaynes at UFC Vegas 16 on Saturday, December 5, 2020. The moneyline has Benitez priced at -230 while Jaynes is at +190.

Gabriel "Moggly" Benitez will be looking to add a win to his career total of 21-9-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 71". Justin "The Guitar Hero" Jaynes measures 5'7" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 16-5-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 68". In terms of significant strikes, Gabriel Benitez connects on 4.14 per minute and Justin Jaynes connects on 4.60 significant strikes per min. Benitez is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he attempts while Jaynes is landing 43%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Moggly" absorbs 3.16 significant strikes per minute and "The Guitar Hero" takes 7.34. Benitez also defends against 71% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Jaynes is able to defend against 59% of the shots thrown his way.

Regarding grappling, Gabriel Benitez is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.18 times per 3 rds. Benitez is scoring a takedown on 50% of his tries and stopping 56% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Jaynes is taking his opponents to the mat on 45% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 50% of the tries against him. In terms of going for the sub, Benitez is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 1.2 finishes per 3 rds while Jaynes goes for 1.4 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his previous fight, Gabriel Benitez squared up with Omar Morales and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Morales landed 63 of 215 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Benitez finished this fight landing 50 of 179 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Morales ended up landing 63 of 215, which gave him a percentage of 29%. He finished the fight landing 36 of 178 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Benitez ended up landing 27% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 50 of 179. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 17 of 133 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Morales and 100% of them connected on by Benitez were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Justin Jaynes, he went up against Gavin Tucker and walked away with a loss by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Tucker connected on 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Jaynes ended up landing 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Jaynes connected on 40% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 41 of 101. He landed 30 of 84 significant strikes to the head. Tucker ended up landing 87 of 211 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 61 of 177 to the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Tucker was 88 of 212 and Jaynes was 42 of 103 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Roman Dolidze battles John Allan. Dolidze looks to add a victory to his record of 7-0-0. The 32-year-old weighs 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Allan comes in at 6'1" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 13-5-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 75". Regarding grappling, Roman Dolidze takes his opponents down 0.60 times per 3 rounds while John Allan gets a takedown 2.54 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Dolidze lands 4.47 strikes/min and is connecting on 86% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is John Allan, who connects on 48% of the strikes he attempts and is landing 3.59 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Movsar Evloev is set to face off with Nate Landwehr. Landwehr walks into the cage holding a record of 14-3-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Evloev comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 13-0-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of wrestling, Nate Landwehr defends against 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 40% of his attempts. Evloev is taking his opponents down on 33% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 68% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Landwehr is taking 7.22 strikes/min and he lands 6.89 per minute. Evloev, on the other hand, takes 2.76 strikes per min and lands 4.44 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Gabriel Benitez (-230)

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