Ed Herman vs Mike Rodriguez Pick, 9/12/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 10 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/11/2020

Ed Herman vs Mike Rodriguez

UFC Vegas 10

UFC Apex

Saturday, September 12, 2020

Ed Herman will face off with Mike Rodriguez at UFC Vegas 10 on Saturday, September 12, 2020. The line has Herman priced at +205 while Rodriguez is at -245.

Ed "Short Fuse" Herman looks to add a victory to his career record of 26-14-0. The 39-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Mike "Slo Mike" Rodriguez comes in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 11-4-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 82". Regarding significant strikes, Ed Herman is connecting on 3.33 per min and Mike Rodriguez is landing 4.59 significant strikes per min. Herman is landing 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Rodriguez connects on 54%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Short Fuse" absorbs 3.13 significant strikes per minute and "Slo Mike" allows 3.58. Herman also defends against 44% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Rodriguez is able to deflect 44% of the shots thrown.

Concerning grappling, Ed Herman is the more competent wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 2.20 times per 3 rounds. Herman is taking his opponents to the canvas on 48% of his attempts and is stopping 59% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Rodriguez is scoring a takedown on 10% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 38% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Herman is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 1.2 finishes per 3 rds while Rodriguez looks to get 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his previous fight, Ed Herman faced Khadis Ibragimov and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Ibragimov landed 70 of 124 total strikes attempted in that contest. Herman finished this fight landing 121 of 183 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Ibragimov landed 53 of 102, which gave him a rate of 51%. He finished the fight landing 48 of 95 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Herman landed 57% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 81 of 140. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 49 of 103 pointed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes connected on by Ibragimov and 44% of them landed by Herman were done at distance.

Related: Get UFC picks & tips

In the last Octagon appearance for Mike Rodriguez, he faced off with Marcin Prachnio and wound up getting the victory by elbows to the head in round 1. Prachnio landed 64% of his significant strikes at distance while Rodriguez landed 38% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 80% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 21 of 26. He ended up landing 9 of 13 significant strikes aimed at the head. Prachnio ended up connecting on 14 of 20 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 1 of 5 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Prachnio landed 23 of 30 while Rodriguez ended up connecting on 21 of 26 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Bobby Green faces off against Alan Patrick. Green walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 26-10-1. The 34-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Patrick stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 15-2-0. The 37-year-old extends his reach 74". In the grappling category, Bobby Green is averaging a takedown 1.33 times per 3 rds while Alan Patrick scores a takedown 3.92 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Green lands an average of 5.22 strikes/min and connecting on 50% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Alan Patrick, who is connecting on 43% of the strikes he has tried and lands 1.88 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Kyle Nelson is set to battle Billy Quarantillo. Quarantillo looks to add a victory to his record of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Nelson comes in at 5'11" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 13-3-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 71". Regarding wrestling, Billy Quarantillo is able to thwart 54% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 42% of the times he tries. Nelson is finishing his takedowns on 16% of the tries he takes and stops 50% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Quarantillo takes 2.82 strikes per min and he dishes out 7.43 per min. Nelson, in contrast, takes 6.35 strikes per min and connects on 2.73 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Mike Rodriguez (-245)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	November 24, 2024 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Vernon Croy
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Ed Herman vs Mike Rodriguez Pick, 9/12/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 10 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks