Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/17/2020

Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley

UFC Vegas 11

UFC Apex

Saturday, September 19, 2020

Colby Covington will enter the Octagon against Tyron Woodley at UFC Vegas 11 on Saturday, September 19, 2020. The odds have Covington priced at -345 while Woodley is coming in at +285.

Colby "Chaos" Covington will be looking to add a win to his record of 15-2-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Tyron "The Chosen One" Woodley measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 19-5-1. The 38-year-old reaches 74". With respect to significant strikes, Colby Covington is landing 4.17 per minute while Tyron Woodley is landing 2.38 significant strikes per min. Covington is connecting on 37% of the significant strikes he attempts while Woodley lands 49%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Chaos" allows 3.02 significant strikes per minute while "The Chosen One" allows 2.65. Covington also thwarts 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Woodley is able to thwart 56% of the strikes thrown his way.

Regarding grappling, Colby Covington is the better wrestler as he gets a takedown 4.91 times per 15 minutes. Covington is finishing his takedown attempts on 51% of his attempts and stuffing 78% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Woodley is finishing his takedown tries on 39% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 90% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Covington is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.2 submissions per 3 rds while Woodley tries 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

The last time he fought, Colby Covington squared up with Kamaru Usman and wound up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 5. Usman landed 175 of 360 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Covington finished this fight landing 143 of 395 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Usman ended up landing 175 of 360, giving him a percentage of 48%. He finished the fight landing 116 of 279 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Covington landed 36% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 143 of 395. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 103 of 341 pointed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Usman and 100% of them connected on by Covington were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Tyron Woodley, he fought Gilbert Burns and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 5. Burns ended up landing 61% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Woodley landed 67% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Woodley connected on 43% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 28 of 64. He ended up landing 14 of 44 significant strikes directed at the head. Burns landed 83 of 138 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 41 of 82 to the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Burns connected on 156 of 211 while Woodley ended up landing 65 of 101 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Donald Cerrone squares up in the Octagon against Niko Price. Cerrone has a mark of 36-15-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Price stands 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-4-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 76". Regarding grappling, Donald Cerrone takes his opponents down 1.23 times per 3 rds and Niko Price is averaging a takedown 1.08 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Cerrone connects for an average of 4.33 strikes per min and landing 46% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Niko Price, who tags the opposition on 38% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 4.32 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Gerald Meerschaert is set to enter the Octagon against Khamzat Chimaev. Chimaev has a career record of 8-0-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Meerschaert measures in at 6'1" and weighs 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 31-13-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 77". In terms of wrestling, Khamzat Chimaev defends against 10% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of the times he tries. Meerschaert is finishing his takedowns on 43% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 46% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Chimaev absorbs 0.11 strikes per minute and he is landing 8.88 strikes/minute. Meerschaert, on the other side, takes 3.58 strikes per minute and is landing 3.31 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Colby Covington (-345)

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Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

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