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Chris Gruetzemacher vs Alexander Hernandez Pick, 10/31/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 12 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/29/2020

alexander hernandez ufc

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Chris Gruetzemacher vs Alexander Hernandez

UFC Vegas 12

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 31, 2020

Chris Gruetzemacher will enter the Octagon against Alexander Hernandez at UFC Vegas 12 on Saturday, October 31, 2020. The opening odds have Gruetzemacher coming in at +335 while Hernandez is priced at -420.

Chris "Gritz" Gruetzemacher will be looking to add a victory to his total of 14-3-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Alexander "The Great" Hernandez measures 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 11-3-0. The 28-year-old reaches 72". When talking about significant strikes, Chris Gruetzemacher lands 7.12 per minute while Alexander Hernandez lands 3.17 significant strikes per min. Gruetzemacher lands 58% of the significant strikes he throws and Hernandez lands 38%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Gritz" allows 5.09 significant strikes per minute while "The Great" takes 3.87. Gruetzemacher also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Hernandez is able to defend against 52% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

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Concerning takedowns, Chris Gruetzemacher is the not as competent as a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Gruetzemacher is taking his opponents to the canvas on 10% of the times he tries and defending 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. Hernandez is taking his opponents down on 38% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 57% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to going for the submission, Gruetzemacher is the more able fighter by trying 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes while Hernandez goes for 0.2 finishes per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Chris Gruetzemacher faced Joe Lauzon and took home the victory by corner stoppage in round 2. Lauzon landed 49 of 138 total strikes attempted in that fight. Gruetzemacher walked away from this fight having landed 135 of 203 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Lauzon ended up landing 48 of 137, which gave him a rate of 35%. He ended up landing 40 of 125 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Gruetzemacher landed 65% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 128 of 196. Of all the significant strikes, he was 72 of 135 aimed at the head. 72% of the significant strikes connected on by Lauzon and 53% of them landed by Gruetzemacher were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Alexander Hernandez, he went up against Drew Dober and walked away with a loss by a punch to the head in round 2. Dober landed 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Hernandez connected on 82% of his significant strikes at distance. Hernandez ended up connecting on 31% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 34 of 108. He ended up landing 22 of 88 significant strikes to the head. Dober connected on 61 of 145 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 48 of 126 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Dober ended up connecting on 65 of 149 while Hernandez landed 41 of 115 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Sean Strickland encounters Jack Marshman. Strickland looks to add a win to his record of 20-3-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Marshman measures in at 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 23-9-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 73". In terms of takedowns, Sean Strickland is averaging a takedown 1.37 times per 15 minutes and Jack Marshman takes his opponents down 0.40 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Strickland lands an average of 4.34 strikes per min and connecting on 35% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Jack Marshman, who is connecting on 28% of the strikes he has tried and lands 2.64 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Jason Witt is set to square up against Cole Williams. Williams looks to add a win to his record of 11-2-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Witt measures 5'10" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 17-6-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding wrestling, Cole Williams stops 10% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 10% of the times he tries. Witt is finishing his takedown tries on 20% of the attempts he tries and defends against 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Williams takes 12.39 strikes/min and he deals 0.77 per min. Witt, at the same time, takes 22.50 strikes per min and is dealing 2.50 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Chris Gruetzemacher (+335)

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