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Chris Daukaus vs Rodrigo Nascimento Pick, 10/10/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 5 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/9/2020

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Chris Daukaus vs Rodrigo Nascimento

UFC Fight Island 5

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Chris Daukaus will face off with Rodrigo Nascimento at UFC Fight Island 5 on Saturday, October 10, 2020. The opening moneyline has Daukaus at +220 while Nascimento is priced at -260.

Chris Daukaus looks to add a win to his career record of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 250 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Rodrigo "Ze Colmeia" Nascimento measures 6'2" and records a weight of 246 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-0-0. The 27-year-old stretches 80". When talking about significant strikes, Chris Daukaus is connecting on 8.28 per min and Rodrigo Nascimento is landing 4.44 significant strikes per minute. Daukaus lands 62% of the significant strikes he tries while Nascimento connects on 56%. Regarding defense, Daukaus absorbs 3.81 significant strikes per min while "Ze Colmeia" absorbs 3.38. Daukaus also curbs 67% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Nascimento curbs 44% of the shots thrown his way.

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Concerning takedowns, Chris Daukaus is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.2 times per 3 rds. Daukaus is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his tries and is defending 10% of all takedown attempts. Nascimento is getting his opponent to the mat on 90% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 90% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to subbing opponents, Daukaus is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.4 finishes per 3 rounds while Nascimento looks to get 2.9 finishes per 3 rounds.

In his previous bout, Chris Daukaus faced Parker Porter and ended up getting the win by a knee to the head in round 1. Porter ended up landing 18 of 53 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Daukaus finished this fight landing 45 of 67 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Porter ended up landing 17 of 52, giving him a percentage of 32%. He landed 12 of 44 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Daukaus landed 62% of his significant strikes by landing 37 of 59. Of those significant strikes, he was 29 of 49 pointed at the head. 82% of the significant strikes landed by Porter and 78% of them connected on by Daukaus were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Rodrigo Nascimento, he squared up with Don'Tale Mayes and wound up taking home the victory via rear naked choke in round 2. Mayes ended up landing 77% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Nascimento ended up connecting on 81% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Nascimento ended up connecting on 61% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 32 of 52. He landed 14 of 33 significant strikes to the head. Mayes ended up landing 27 of 48 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 10 of 30 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Mayes connected on 42 of 65 and Nascimento connected on 45 of 65 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Impa Kasanganay squares up with Joaquin Buckley. Kasanganay steps into the cage with a record of 8-0-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Buckley comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career record of 10-3-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 76". In terms of takedowns, Impa Kasanganay scores a takedown 1.67 times per 15 minutes and Joaquin Buckley takes his opponents to the mat 0.00 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Kasanganay connects on 5.58 strikes/minute and connects on 52% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Joaquin Buckley, who is landing 33% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 3.80 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Tony Kelley is set to square up in the Octagon with Ali AlQaisi. AlQaisi has a record of 8-4-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Kelley measures 5'9" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 6-2-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of grappling, Ali AlQaisi deflects 60% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 22% of the times he tries. Kelley is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the attempts he tries and stops 90% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, AlQaisi takes 2.40 strikes per minute while he lands 2.93 strikes/min. Kelley, notwithstanding, is taking 7.60 strikes/minute and is connecting on 7.60 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Rodrigo Nascimento (-260)

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