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Casey Kenney vs Heili Alateng Pick, 10/3/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 4 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/2/2020

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Casey Kenney vs Heili Alateng

UFC Fight Island 4

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 3, 2020

Casey Kenney will face off against Heili Alateng at UFC Fight Island 4 on Saturday, October 3, 2020. The line has Kenney priced at -325 while Alateng is priced at +265.

Casey Kenney walks into the cage with a mark of 14-2-1. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 68". Heili "The Mongolian Knight" Alateng stands 5'5" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 14-7-1. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 66". In terms of significant strikes, Casey Kenney is connecting on 3.66 per minute while Heili Alateng connects on 2.77 significant strikes per min. Kenney lands 42% of the significant strikes he tries and Alateng is connecting on 37%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Kenney takes 3.31 significant strikes per minute and "The Mongolian Knight" absorbs 5.10. Kenney also curbs 56% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Alateng thwarts 57% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

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When it comes to grappling, Casey Kenney is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 1.35 times per 3 rounds. Kenney is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his tries and stopping 53% of all takedowns attempted on him. Alateng is getting his opponent to the mat on 35% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 90% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submission attempts, Kenney is the more able fighter by attempting 0.8 submissions per 3 rds while Alateng attempts 0.4 submissions per 15 min.

In his previous fight, Casey Kenney went up against Louis Smolka and wound up taking home the victory via guillotine choke in round 1. Smolka ended up landing 18 of 43 total strikes attempted in that fight. Kenney walked away from this fight having landed 32 of 52 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Smolka ended up landing 18 of 43, which means his percentage was 41%. He landed 4 of 16 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Kenney ended up landing 61% of his significant strikes by sticking 32 of 52. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 15 of 34 aimed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Smolka and 96% of them landed by Kenney were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Heili Alateng, he battled Ryan Benoit and ended up getting the victory by way of split decision in round 3. Benoit ended up landing 77% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Alateng landed 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Alateng ended up connecting on 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 47 of 131. He landed 27 of 108 significant strikes to the head. Benoit ended up connecting on 68 of 128 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 45 of 101 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Benoit connected on 84 of 145 while Alateng ended up landing 72 of 160 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Luigi Vendramini squares up in the Octagon against Jessin Ayari. Vendramini has a mark of 8-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs 170 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Ayari comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-5-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 73". When it comes to grappling, Luigi Vendramini takes his opponents to the canvas 0.70 times per 15 minutes and Jessin Ayari takes his opponents down 0.40 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Vendramini lands 0.63 strikes/minute and landing 23% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Jessin Ayari, who is landing 38% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 3.58 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Irene Aldana is set to fight Holly Holm. Holm has a record of 13-5-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 69". Aldana stands in at 5'9" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her career total of 12-5-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 68". Regarding takedowns, Holly Holm defends against 76% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 27% of her tries. Aldana is finishing her takedown tries on 50% of the attempts she tries and deflects 93% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Holm takes 2.80 strikes/min while she is dealing 2.75 strikes per min. Aldana, notwithstanding, is taking 5.92 strikes per min and is dealing 6.16 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Casey Kenney (-325)

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