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Carlos Condit vs Court McGee Pick, 10/3/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 4 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/2/2020

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Carlos Condit vs Court McGee

UFC Fight Island 4

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 3, 2020

Carlos Condit will take on Court McGee at UFC Fight Island 4 on Saturday, October 3, 2020. The opening line has Condit priced at +115 while McGee is coming in at -135.

Carlos "The Natural Born Killer" Condit steps into the Octagon with a mark of 30-13-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Court "The Crusher" McGee stands 5'11" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 20-9-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding significant strikes, Carlos Condit is landing 3.56 per minute and Court McGee lands 4.86 significant strikes per min. Condit lands 39% of the significant strikes he throws while McGee lands 35%. Regarding defense, "The Natural Born Killer" allows 2.34 significant strikes per min and "The Crusher" allows 3.80. Condit also stops 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and McGee stops 61% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

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In terms of wrestling, Carlos Condit is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.58 times per 15 minutes. Condit is finishing his takedown attempts on 55% of his tries and is defending 36% of all takedown tries against him. McGee is finishing his takedown attempts on 21% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 63% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing opponents, Condit is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 1.2 subs per 3 rounds while McGee tries 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.

In his previous fight, Carlos Condit fought Michael Chiesa and was defeated by a kimura submission in round 2. Chiesa landed 16 of 33 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Condit finished this fight landing 20 of 39 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Chiesa landed 10 of 22, giving him a percentage of 45%. He finished the fight landing 8 of 20 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Condit ended up landing 20% of his significant strikes by landing 5 of 24. Of all the significant strikes, he was 2 of 18 aimed at the head. 20% of the significant strikes connected on by Chiesa and 40% of them connected on by Condit were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Court McGee, he squared up with Sean Brady and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Brady landed 97% of his significant strikes at distance and McGee landed 94% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. McGee landed 36% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 107 of 291. He landed 71 of 236 significant strikes aimed at the head. Brady landed 119 of 210 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 85 of 168 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Brady ended up landing 148 of 240 and McGee ended up connecting on 128 of 313 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Casey Kenney squares up in the Octagon against Heili Alateng. Kenney walks into the cage with a mark of 14-2-1. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 68". Alateng stands 5'5" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 14-7-1. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 66". When it comes to grappling, Casey Kenney gets a takedown 1.35 times per 3 rds while Heili Alateng takes his opponents down 3.50 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Kenney connects for an average of 3.66 strikes/min and landing 42% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Heili Alateng, who tags the opposition on 37% of the strikes that he throws and lands 2.77 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jessin Ayari is set to enter the Octagon with Luigi Vendramini. Vendramini has a mark of 8-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs 170 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Ayari comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 16-5-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding wrestling, Luigi Vendramini thwarts 8% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 15% of his attempts. Ayari is taking his opponents down on 10% of his attempts and stops 33% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Vendramini takes 2.37 strikes per min while he is connecting on 0.63 strikes per minute. Ayari, on the contrary, is absorbing 3.40 strikes per min and is dealing 3.58 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Court McGee (-135)

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