Carla Esparza vs Marina Rodriguez Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/24/2020

Carla Esparza vs Marina Rodriguez

UFC Fight Island 3

Saturday, July 25, 2020

Carla Esparza will battle Marina Rodriguez at UFC Fight Island 3 at UFC Fight Island on Saturday, July 25, 2020. The opening line has Esparza priced at +150 while Rodriguez is priced at -170.

Carla "Cookie Monster" Esparza looks to add a victory to her career record of 17-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Marina Rodriguez comes in at 5'6" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 12-0-2. The 33-year-old reaches 65". Regarding significant strikes, Carla Esparza connects on 2.30 per minute while Marina Rodriguez is connecting on 5.60 significant strikes per min. Esparza is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes she attempts while Rodriguez connects on 50%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Cookie Monster" takes 2.87 significant strikes per minute and Rodriguez takes 3.57. Esparza also defends against 53% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Rodriguez is able to defend against 53% of the strikes thrown her way.

When it comes to grappling, Carla Esparza is the more effective grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 3.28 times per 3 rds. Esparza is finishing her takedown attempts on 33% of the times she tries and stopping 48% of the takedowns her opponents try. Rodriguez is getting her opponent to the mat on 33% of the takedowns she attempts and defending 70% of the attempts against her. In terms of submissions, Esparza is the more experienced submission fighter by attempting 0.3 subs per 15 min while Rodriguez goes for 0.2 subs per 15 minutes.

In her previous bout, Carla Esparza fought Michelle Waterson and ended up getting the victory via split decision in round 3. Waterson landed 44 of 98 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Esparza ended the night having landed 48 of 106 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Waterson landed 44 of 98, which gave her a rate of 44%. She finished the fight landing 15 of 60 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Esparza ended up landing 43% of her significant strikes by connecting on 45 of 103. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she was 34 of 88 aimed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes landed by Waterson and 86% of them connected on by Esparza were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Marina Rodriguez, she squared up with Cynthia Calvillo and ended up in a draw by majority decision in round 3. Calvillo ended up landing 38% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Rodriguez ended up connecting on 69% of her significant strikes at distance. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 40% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 56 of 140. She connected on 30 of 110 significant strikes to the head. Calvillo ended up connecting on 78 of 130 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 51 of 90 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Calvillo ended up landing 112 of 173 and Rodriguez ended up landing 61 of 145 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Bethe Correia clashes with Pannie Kianzad. Correia looks to add a win to her record of 11-4-1. The 37-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Kianzad stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 13-5-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 66". In the grappling category, Bethe Correia gets a takedown 0.37 times per 3 rds while Pannie Kianzad takes her opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Correia is connecting on 4.47 strikes per minute and connecting on 44% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Pannie Kianzad, who connects on 41% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 4.03 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Darren Till is set to battle Robert Whittaker. Whittaker holds a mark of 21-5-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Till measures in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 18-2-1. The 27-year-old extends his reach 74". Regarding takedowns, Robert Whittaker is thwarting 84% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 57% of his tries. Till is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 82% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Whittaker is taking 3.70 strikes per minute while he dishes out 4.77 strikes per minute. Till, notwithstanding, takes 3.03 strikes per minute and dishes out 2.41 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Carla Esparza (+150)

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Carla Esparza vs Marina Rodriguez Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

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