Blagoy Ivanov vs Augusto Sakai Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 9 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/26/2020

Blagoy Ivanov vs Augusto Sakai

UFC on ESPN 9

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 30, 2020

Blagoy Ivanov will take on Augusto Sakai at UFC on ESPN 9 at UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, May 30, 2020. The opening line has Ivanov priced at -105 while Sakai is priced at -115.

Blagoy "Baga" Ivanov steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-3-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 250 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Augusto Sakai comes in at 6'3" and weighs in at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 14-1-1. The 29-year-old extends his reach 77". Regarding significant strikes, Blagoy Ivanov is landing 3.09 per minute and Augusto Sakai lands 5.51 significant strikes per minute. Ivanov connects on 38% of the significant strikes he tries while Sakai lands 46%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Baga" allows 3.93 significant strikes per min and Sakai allows 3.77. Ivanov also deflects 55% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Sakai is able to curb 57% of the shots thrown.

In terms of takedowns, Blagoy Ivanov is the more productive grappler as he gets a takedown 1.07 times per 15 min. Ivanov is taking his opponents to the canvas on 62% of the times he tries and stopping 75% of all takedown tries against him. Sakai is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of his takedown attempts and is defending 88% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the sub, Ivanov is the more skilled technician by trying 0.2 finishes per 15 min while Sakai tries 0.1 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last fight, Blagoy Ivanov squared up with Derrick Lewis and walked away with a loss via split decision in round 3. Lewis ended up landing 32 of 69 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Ivanov ended the night having landed 61 of 83 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Lewis landed 31 of 68, which gave him a percentage of 45%. He finished the fight landing 21 of 54 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Ivanov landed 52% of his significant strikes by landing 20 of 38. Of those significant strikes, he landed 12 of 27 aimed at the head. 29% of the significant strikes connected on by Lewis and 60% of them landed by Ivanov were tallied at a distance.

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In the last fight for Augusto Sakai, he went up against Marcin Tybura and ended up getting the win by punches to the head in round 1. Tybura landed 95% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Sakai ended up connecting on 40% of his significant strikes at distance. Sakai connected on 55% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 15 of 27. He landed 13 of 25 significant strikes to the head. Tybura ended up landing 6 of 7 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 1 of 2 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Tybura was 6 of 7 and Sakai ended up landing 15 of 27 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Roosevelt Roberts faces off against Brok Weaver. Roberts comes into this fight holding a mark of 9-1-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Weaver stands 6'0" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 15-4-0. The 28-year-old stretches 73". In terms of takedowns, Roosevelt Roberts gets a takedown 1.84 times per 15 min while Brok Weaver is averaging a takedown 0.00 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Roberts tags his opponents 2.87 strikes/minute and is connecting on 46% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Brok Weaver, who tags the opposition on 73% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 5.57 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Spike Carlyle is set to square up against Billy Quarantillo. Quarantillo walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-2-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Carlyle measures 5'8" and weighs 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 9-1-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of wrestling, Billy Quarantillo is able to defend against 60% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 25% of his attempts. Carlyle is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of the attempts he tries and defends against 97% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Quarantillo takes 3.11 strikes/min and he is dealing 10.77 per min. Carlyle, on the other side, is absorbing 1.41 strikes per minute and dishes out 14.12 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Augusto Sakai (-115)

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