Billy Quarantillo vs Spike Carlyle Predictions, Picks, UFC on ESPN 9 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/26/2020

Billy Quarantillo vs Spike Carlyle

UFC on ESPN 9

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 30, 2020

Billy Quarantillo will battle Spike Carlyle at UFC on ESPN 9 at UFC Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday, May 30, 2020. The opening moneyline has Quarantillo coming in at -155 while Carlyle is priced at +135.

Billy Quarantillo walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-2-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Spike "Alpha Ginger" Carlyle measures 5'8" and weighs 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 9-1-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 71". With respect to significant strikes, Billy Quarantillo is landing 10.77 per minute while Spike Carlyle is landing 14.12 significant strikes per minute. Quarantillo connects on 81% of the significant strikes he throws and Carlyle lands 68%. Regarding defending in the cage, Quarantillo allows 3.11 significant strikes per min and "Alpha Ginger" allows 1.41. Quarantillo also thwarts 42% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Carlyle prevents 83% of the shots thrown.

In the grappling category, Billy Quarantillo is the more skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rds. Quarantillo is scoring a takedown on 25% of his attempts and stopping 60% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Carlyle is taking his opponents to the canvas on 10% of his takedown tries and defending 97% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Quarantillo is the more apt fighter by trying 4.0 submissions per 15 minutes while Carlyle attempts 0.5 submissions per 15 min.

In his last fight, Billy Quarantillo went up against Jacob Kilburn and took home the win by way of triangle choke from back control in round 2. Kilburn landed 6 of 9 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Quarantillo ended the night having landed 139 of 165 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Kilburn landed 3 of 6, which gave him a rate of 50%. He ended up landing 0 of 2 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Quarantillo ended up landing 86% of his significant strikes by landing 74 of 86. Of all the significant strikes, he was 63 of 74 aimed at the head. 66% of the significant strikes connected on by Kilburn and 2% of them landed by Quarantillo were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Spike Carlyle, he faced off with Aalon Cruz and ended up getting the victory by way of punches to the head from the mount position in round 1. Cruz ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Carlyle ended up landing 10% of his significant strikes at distance. Carlyle connected on 68% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 20 of 29. He connected on 19 of 27 significant strikes directed at the head. Cruz landed 2 of 12 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 2 of 4 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Cruz connected on 2 of 12 while Carlyle connected on 29 of 38 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jamahal Hill squares up against Klidson Abreu. Hill looks to add a win to his career total of 7-0-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 79". Abreu measures in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 15-4-0. The 27-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to grappling, Jamahal Hill gets his opposition to the mat 0.20 times per 15 min while Klidson Abreu is able to score a takedown 0.67 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Hill connects on 7.92 strikes/minute and connects on 52% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Klidson Abreu, who connects on 39% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 2.02 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Casey Kenney is set to fight Louis Smolka. Smolka comes into this fight with a record of 16-6-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Kenney stands 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 13-2-1. The 29-year-old stretches 68". Concerning wrestling, Louis Smolka is able to stop 30% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 34% of his tries. Kenney is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 52% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Smolka is taking 3.47 strikes/min while he is landing 4.22 strikes per min. Kenney, notwithstanding, takes 3.20 strikes per minute and deals 3.39 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Spike Carlyle (+135)

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