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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Billy Quarantillo vs Kyle Nelson Pick, 9/12/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 10 Odds

Billy Quarantillo vs Kyle Nelson Pick, 9/12/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 10 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/11/2020

Billy Quarantillo UFC

Free Picks

Billy Quarantillo vs Kyle Nelson

UFC Vegas 10

UFC Apex

Saturday, September 12, 2020

Billy Quarantillo will take on Kyle Nelson at UFC Vegas 10 on Saturday, September 12, 2020. The opening moneyline has Quarantillo coming in at -260 while Nelson is coming in at +220.

Billy Quarantillo looks to add a victory to his record of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Kyle "The Monster" Nelson comes in at 5'11" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 13-3-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 71". With respect to significant strikes, Billy Quarantillo connects on 7.43 per min and Kyle Nelson connects on 2.73 significant strikes per minute. Quarantillo connects on 79% of the significant strikes he throws while Nelson is connecting on 36%. In terms of defending in the cage, Quarantillo absorbs 2.82 significant strikes per minute while "The Monster" allows 6.35. Quarantillo also curbs 43% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Nelson deflects 47% of the shots thrown in his direction.

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Regarding wrestling, Billy Quarantillo is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.34 times per 3 rds. Quarantillo is getting his opponent to the mat on 42% of his tries and thwarting 54% of the takedowns his opponents try. Nelson is scoring a takedown on 16% of his takedown attempts and is defending 50% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Quarantillo is the more apt fighter by going for 3.1 submissions per 15 min while Nelson looks to get 2.8 submissions per 3 rds.

In his last fight, Billy Quarantillo went up against Spike Carlyle and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Carlyle landed 64 of 102 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Quarantillo ended the night having landed 110 of 135 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Carlyle ended up landing 37 of 66, which gave him a rate of 56%. He finished the fight landing 34 of 63 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Quarantillo ended up landing 74% of his significant strikes by landing 49 of 66. Of those significant strikes, he landed 42 of 59 aimed at the head. 32% of the significant strikes connected on by Carlyle and 24% of them connected on by Quarantillo were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Kyle Nelson, he battled Marco Polo Reyes and wound up taking home the victory by a punch to the head in round 1. Reyes ended up connecting on 50% of his significant strikes at distance and Nelson ended up landing 16% of his significant strikes at distance. Nelson ended up landing 75% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 12 of 16. He connected on 8 of 12 significant strikes to the head. Reyes ended up landing 6 of 10 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 0 of 3 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Reyes ended up landing 7 of 11 and Nelson was 12 of 16 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Matt Schnell enters the Octagon with Tyson Nam. Schnell comes into this fight with a mark of 14-5-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Nam stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 19-11-1. The 36-year-old extends his reach 68". When it comes to grappling, Matt Schnell takes his opponents down 0.64 times per 15 minutes and Tyson Nam is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Schnell tags his opponents 3.73 strikes/min and landing 35% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Tyson Nam, who is connecting on 28% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 3.01 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Matt Frevola is set to face off against Roosevelt Roberts. Roberts looks to add a win to his career record of 10-2-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Frevola measures in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 8-1-1. The 30-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of grappling, Roosevelt Roberts thwarts 58% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 57% of his attempts. Frevola is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Roberts is taking 2.21 strikes per min and he is connecting on 3.02 per min. Frevola, on the other side, takes 3.47 strikes per minute and deals 3.19 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kyle Nelson (+220)

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