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Ben Rothwell vs Marcin Tybura Pick, 10/10/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 5 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/9/2020

Ben Rothwell UFC

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Ben Rothwell vs Marcin Tybura

UFC Fight Island 5

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Ben Rothwell will take on Marcin Tybura at UFC Fight Island 5 on Saturday, October 10, 2020. The opening line has Rothwell priced at -150 while Tybura is at +130.

Ben Rothwell looks to add a victory to his career record of 38-12-0. The 38-year-old steps on the scale at 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Marcin "Tybur" Tybura measures in at 6'3" and weighs in at 249 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 19-6-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Concerning significant strikes, Ben Rothwell connects on 3.37 per min and Marcin Tybura lands 3.32 significant strikes per minute. Rothwell connects on 43% of the significant strikes he attempts while Tybura is connecting on 50%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Rothwell allows 4.44 significant strikes per min and "Tybur" takes 2.83. Rothwell also deflects 46% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Tybura is able to stop 53% of the shots thrown his way.

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Concerning grappling, Ben Rothwell is the not as competent as a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.68 times per 3 rounds. Rothwell is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of the times he tries and is stopping 69% of the takedowns his opponents try. Tybura is finishing his takedown tries on 48% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 82% of the tries against him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Rothwell is the more capable fighter by trying 0.3 finishes per 3 rds while Tybura looks to get 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last fight, Ben Rothwell faced Ovince Saint Preux and wound up taking home the win via split decision in round 3. Preux ended up landing 46 of 87 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Rothwell ended the night having landed 86 of 142 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Preux ended up landing 42 of 82, giving him a percentage of 51%. He landed 27 of 62 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Rothwell landed 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 56 of 110. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 37 of 89 pointed at the head. 78% of the significant strikes connected on by Preux and 71% of them connected on by Rothwell were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Marcin Tybura, he fought Maxim Grishin and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Grishin ended up landing 77% of his significant strikes at distance while Tybura landed 58% of his significant strikes at distance. Tybura ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 24 of 52. He connected on 15 of 36 significant strikes directed at the head. Grishin connected on 18 of 32 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 9 of 20 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Grishin connected on 54 of 71 while Tybura ended up connecting on 70 of 119 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Chris Daukaus enters the Octagon against Rodrigo Nascimento. Daukaus looks to add a win to his career record of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 250 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Nascimento measures 6'2" and records a weight of 246 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-0-0. The 27-year-old stretches 80". In the grappling category, Chris Daukaus is averaging a takedown 0.00 times per 15 min and Rodrigo Nascimento is able to score a takedown 2.90 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Daukaus tags his opponents 8.28 strikes per min and is connecting on 62% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Rodrigo Nascimento, who is connecting on 56% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 4.44 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Joaquin Buckley is set to take on Impa Kasanganay. Kasanganay steps into the cage with a record of 8-0-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Buckley comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career record of 10-3-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 76". Regarding takedowns, Impa Kasanganay is thwarting 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 83% of his attempts. Buckley is finishing his takedown tries on 10% of his tries and defends against 90% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Kasanganay takes 3.42 strikes/minute while he deals 5.58 strikes per minute. Buckley, at the same time, is absorbing 7.50 strikes per minute and connects on 3.80 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ben Rothwell (-150)

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