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Andre Ewell vs Irwin Rivera Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/17/2020

Andre Ewell UFC

Free Picks

Andre Ewell vs Irwin Rivera

UFC Vegas 11

UFC Apex

Saturday, September 19, 2020

Andre Ewell will enter the Octagon with Irwin Rivera at UFC Vegas 11 on Saturday, September 19, 2020. The opening odds have Ewell coming in at -225 while Rivera is at +185.

Andre "Mr. Highlight" Ewell looks to add a victory to his record of 16-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Irwin "The Beast" Rivera stands 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 10-5-0. The 31-year-old reaches 67". With respect to significant strikes, Andre Ewell is connecting on 3.74 per min while Irwin Rivera is landing 2.33 significant strikes per minute. Ewell connects on 40% of the significant strikes he tries and Rivera connects on 41%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Mr. Highlight" allows 3.95 significant strikes per min and "The Beast" absorbs 3.50. Ewell also thwarts 54% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Rivera defends against 56% of the strikes thrown his way.

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In the wrestling category, Andre Ewell is the not as competent as a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.21 times per 15 minutes. Ewell is scoring a takedown on 50% of the times he tries and defending 66% of all takedown tries against him. Rivera is finishing his takedown attempts on 22% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Ewell is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Rivera tries 0.4 submissions per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Andre Ewell fought Jonathan Martinez and wound up taking home the victory via split decision in round 3. Martinez ended up landing 74 of 151 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Ewell ended the night having landed 85 of 184 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Martinez landed 66 of 142, which gave him a rate of 46%. He finished the fight landing 30 of 88 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Ewell landed 45% of his significant strikes by landing 80 of 177. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 32 of 123 to the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Martinez and 97% of them connected on by Ewell were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Irwin Rivera, he squared up with Ali AlQaisi and wound up taking home the win by way of split decision in round 3. AlQaisi ended up landing 81% of his significant strikes at distance and Rivera ended up connecting on 77% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Rivera ended up connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 36 of 73. He landed 30 of 61 significant strikes aimed at the head. AlQaisi ended up landing 44 of 105 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 28 of 86 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, AlQaisi connected on 54 of 118 while Rivera ended up landing 45 of 82 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Mackenzie Dern enters the Octagon against Randa Markos. Dern looks to add a victory to her career total of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Markos measures in at 5'4" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 10-9-1. The 35-year-old extends her reach 63". In the grappling category, Mackenzie Dern is able to score a takedown 0.43 times per 15 min and Randa Markos takes her opponents to the canvas 1.35 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Dern tags his opponents 3.14 strikes/min and connects on 32% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Randa Markos, who lands 41% of the strikes she attempts and lands 2.96 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Mara Romero Borella is set to enter the Octagon against Mayra Bueno Silva. Bueno Silva holds a career mark of 6-1-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Romero Borella measures in at 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 12-8-0. The 34-year-old reaches 69". When it comes to takedowns, Mayra Bueno Silva defends against 75% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 10% of her tries. Romero Borella is taking her opponents to the mat on 43% of her tries and stops 66% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Bueno Silva takes 7.26 strikes per min and she is dealing 4.87 strikes/min. Romero Borella, on the contrary, is absorbing 2.54 strikes/min and is dishing out 2.54 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Andre Ewell (-225)

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