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Alistair Overeem vs Walt Harris Predictions, Picks, UFC Fight Night Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/11/2020

Walt Harris UFC

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Alistair Overeem vs Walt Harris

UFC Fight Night

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

Saturday, May 16, 2020

Alistair Overeem will enter the Octagon with Walt Harris at UFC Fight Night at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on Saturday, May 16, 2020. The opener has Overeem coming in at +140 while Harris is priced at -160.

Alistair "The Demolition Man" Overeem steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 45-18-0. The 39-year-old tips the scales at 265 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Walt "The Big Ticket" Harris comes in at 6'5" and weighs 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 13-7-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 77". Concerning significant strikes, Alistair Overeem connects on 3.54 per minute and Walt Harris is connecting on 2.96 significant strikes per min. Overeem lands 62% of the significant strikes he tries and Harris lands 38%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Demolition Man" absorbs 2.15 significant strikes per min while "The Big Ticket" takes 2.68. Overeem also thwarts 59% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Harris defends against 61% of the shots thrown in his direction.

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In the wrestling category, Alistair Overeem is the more productive grappler as he scores a takedown 1.39 times per 3 rds. Overeem is scoring a takedown on 53% of the times he tries and stuffing 73% of the attempts against him. Harris is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of his takedown tries and is stopping 76% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the submission, Overeem is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.9 submissions per 15 minutes while Harris attempts 0.2 submissions per 15 min.

In his last fight, Alistair Overeem fought Jairzinho Rozenstruik and wound up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 5. Rozenstruik landed 109 of 229 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Overeem finished this fight landing 101 of 135 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Rozenstruik landed 89 of 209, which gave him a rate of 42%. He finished the fight landing 57 of 169 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Overeem landed 70% of his significant strikes by connecting on 74 of 105. Of those significant strikes, he landed 48 of 76 to the head. 76% of the significant strikes connected on by Rozenstruik and 62% of them connected on by Overeem were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Walt Harris, he squared up with Aleksei Oleinik and took home the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Oleinik landed 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Harris ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Harris ended up landing 57% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 4 of 7. He connected on 2 of 5 significant strikes aimed at the head. Oleinik ended up landing 1 of 3 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 0 of 1 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Oleinik was 1 of 3 while Harris was 4 of 7 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Dan Ige faces off against Edson Barboza. Ige steps into the Octagon with a mark of 13-2-0. The 28-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Barboza comes in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 20-8-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding grappling, Dan Ige gets his opposition to the mat 2.38 times per 3 rds while Edson Barboza is averaging a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Ige is landing 3.89 strikes/min and is connecting on 49% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Edson Barboza, who is landing 43% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 4.01 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Krzysztof Jotko is set to meet Eryk Anders. Anders looks to add a win to his career total of 13-4-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Jotko comes in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 21-4-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 77". When it comes to takedowns, Eryk Anders is thwarting 76% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his tries. Jotko is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his tries and is able to deflect 85% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Anders takes 4.15 strikes per min and he connects on 3.06 strikes/min. Jotko, notwithstanding, is taking 1.81 strikes per minute and dishes out 2.84 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Alistair Overeem (+140)

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